Liga NacionalFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is Double Chance: Coban Imperial or Draw at 1.70, with a +16.2 point edge (75% model vs 58.8% implied).
Other markets are efficiently priced or overpriced, and no corner/card data is available.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 75%
Coban Imperial are unbeaten in 7 of 8 home matches while Deportivo Mixco have lost 6 of 8 away, making the home-or-draw double chance strongly mispriced.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 62.5%
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring, suggesting a tight match.
BetBugs 55% · Market 59.9%
Both teams have inconsistent scoring and recent H2H matches often saw one side blanked, making BTTS No plausible.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 58.8% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
