Draw or Aarhus GF
Market 56% · BetBugs 75%
Aarhus GF are unbeaten in the last 6 Superliga meetings vs Viborg FF (4 wins, 2 draws) since Oct 2023, while Viborg have only 1 win in their last 5 home league games.
SuperligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Aarhus GF are unbeaten in six Superliga meetings with Viborg, making the Double Chance (Draw or Aarhus GF) at 1.78 the top value bet with a 19-point edge.
Avoid backing Viborg outright or in first-half markets, where odds drastically overestimate their chances.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 56% · BetBugs 75%
Aarhus GF are unbeaten in the last 6 Superliga meetings vs Viborg FF (4 wins, 2 draws) since Oct 2023, while Viborg have only 1 win in their last 5 home league games.
Aarhus GFMarket 30% · BetBugs 45%
H2H psychology strongly favors Aarhus GF, who have dominated recent Superliga encounters, while Viborg's poor attacking form (1 goal in last 3 league games) makes a home win unlikely.
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 65%
Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings; Aarhus GF have scored in 9 of last 10 competitive matches.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 30% estimate; price already reflects home bias but ignores H2H dominance.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Viborg FFPlay-offs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 4 |
| 9 | Aarhus GFRelegation Playoffs | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 2 |

