Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Elfsborg's solid home form and unbeaten H2H record give them a slight edge, but recent poor form and Vasteras SK's decent away record keep it close.
- Elfsborg home record: 3W-3D-2L, 11 goals for, 9 against in 8 matches.
- Vasteras SK away record: 4W-1D-3L, 10 goals for, 17 against in 8 matches.
- H2H: Elfsborg unbeaten in 3 meetings (2W-1D), including 1-0 home win in Nov 2024.
- Elfsborg last 5 form: WWLLL, but two wins were away vs strong opponents.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonElfsborgEstimated chance40%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Elfsborg's strong home resilience and historical dominance over Vasteras SK make them unlikely to lose, supported by their 75% home unbeaten rate.
- Elfsborg home record: 3W-3D-2L, 75% unbeaten at home.
- Vasteras SK away record: 4W-1D-3L, 62.5% win rate but 17 goals conceded in 8 away games.
- H2H: Elfsborg unbeaten in 3 meetings (2W-1D).
- Elfsborg last 15 home matches: 1.1 goals conceded per game.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonElfsborg or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Elfsborg's high draw rate at half-time at home (60%) and Vasteras SK's mixed away half-time results point to a likely stalemate at the break.
- Elfsborg home half-time: led 27%, trailed 13%, drawn 60%.
- Vasteras SK away half-time: led 40%, trailed 27%, drawn 33%.
- Elfsborg last 5: 3 draws at half-time.
- Vasteras SK last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Elfsborg's tendency to draw at half-time at home and eventually win, combined with Vasteras SK's away vulnerability, makes this a plausible but low-probability outcome.
- Elfsborg home half-time draws: 60%, full-time wins: 37.5%.
- Vasteras SK away half-time draws: 33%, full-time losses: 37.5%.
- H2H: Elfsborg unbeaten, with one home win after a draw at half-time? (data unclear).
- Elfsborg last 5: 3 half-time draws, 2 full-time wins.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / ElfsborgEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vasteras SK's away games are high-scoring, and Elfsborg's home matches average 2.5 goals; combined with the recent 2-2 H2H, over 2.5 is likely.
- Vasteras SK away matches: 27 goals in 8 games (3.38 per game), with 17 conceded.
- Elfsborg home matches: 20 goals in 8 games (2.5 per game).
- Last H2H: 2-2 draw in April 2026.
- Vasteras SK last 15: 1.6 goals for, 2.0 goals against per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently score and concede in their respective home/away splits, and the recent H2H saw both score, making BTTS a strong possibility.
- Elfsborg home: scored in 7 of 8 matches, conceded in 6 of 8.
- Vasteras SK away: scored in 7 of 8 matches, conceded in 7 of 8.
- Last H2H: both teams scored in 2-2 draw.
- Vasteras SK last 15: both teams scored in 10 of 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vasteras SK's high first-half scoring rate (80% of matches) and Elfsborg's moderate rate suggest at least one first-half goal is probable.
- Elfsborg home first-half goals: 0.5 per game, conceded 0.4; 27% led at half-time.
- Vasteras SK away first-half goals: 0.9 per game, conceded 1.1; 40% led at half-time.
- Vasteras SK last 15: first-half goals in 12 of 15 matches.
- Elfsborg last 15: first-half goals in 9 of 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Elfsborg rarely keeps clean sheets at home, and Vasteras SK almost always scores away, making a home win to nil unlikely.
- Elfsborg home clean sheets: 2 in 8 matches (25%).
- Vasteras SK away failed to score: 1 in 8 matches (12.5%).
- Elfsborg last 15: conceded in 12 matches.
- Vasteras SK last 15: scored in 13 matches.
BetBugs · Home Win to NillostNoEstimated chance70%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Combined corner averages from both teams' home/away splits hover around 9, and recent Elfsborg home matches often exceed 8.5, though confidence is low due to variability.
- Elfsborg home corners: 3.8 per game, opponent corners: 4.5 per game (total ~8.3).
- Vasteras SK away corners: 3.9 per game, opponent corners: 5.6 per game (total ~9.5).
- Last H2H: corner data unavailable, but both teams average around 4 corners each.
- Elfsborg last 5 home matches: total corners 8, 9, 7, 10, 9.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined yellow card averages suggest around 3 cards, but Vasteras SK's higher foul rate and recent card counts push the total slightly over 3.5.
- Elfsborg home fouls: 10.5 per game, yellow cards: 1.5 per game.
- Vasteras SK away fouls: 13.3 per game, yellow cards: 1.4 per game.
- Elfsborg last 5: 0, 1, 2, 0, 1 yellow cards.
- Vasteras SK last 5: 1, 3, 0, 3, 2 yellow cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	21-18	24	WWLLL
6	Vasteras SK	16	7	4	5	25-29	25	WLWDW

Elfsborg3Vasteras SK0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Elfsborg or Draw

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Elfsborg

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Elfsborg

Vasteras SK

Squad & Injuries

Elfsborg

Vasteras SK