Draw
Market 44% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high half-time draw frequencies, and Iquique's last 5 home league matches show 4 first-half draws.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Deportes Iquique's high draw rate (50% overall, 56% at home) and Copiapó's solid away draw record (44%) make a stalemate the most likely outcome, but the best betting value lies in under 1.5 first-half goals (80% estimated probability vs. 69% implied).
The half-time draw also offers an edge, while the double chance is safe but overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 44% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high half-time draw frequencies, and Iquique's last 5 home league matches show 4 first-half draws.
Market 69% · BetBugs 80%
Both teams average under 0.6 first-half goals across their last 15 matches, and Iquique's recent home first halves have been especially quiet.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 80%
Iquique's home resilience (only 1 loss in 9 league matches) and Copiapo's poor away form (2 wins in 9) make a home win or draw highly probable.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 28% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; the draw price is already efficient given the high draw tendency.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 22-25 | 18 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26-25 | 27 |

