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Predictions graded

Cercle Brugge3Sint-Truiden3

HT 1–2Fri 14 Aug 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions6–460%

Edges4–0100%

PossPossession 53%–47%ShotsShots 20–9On targetOn target 6–4CornersCorners 8–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Aug 2026, 00:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Both teams to score (BTTS) is the top pick, with a 65% estimated probability and a marginal edge over the 1.55 odds, backed by Cercle's leaky defense and a strong H2H trend.

Over 2.5 goals is also likely but offers no value at 1.62, while first-half and high-total goal markets should be avoided due to poor pricing and low historical frequency.

Context

Cercle Brugge’s last 5 league matches: 2-2, 2-3, 2-1, 4-1, 3-0 (all over 2.5 goals).
- Both teams scored in all five matches.
- Over their last 15 matches, Cercle averaged 3.6 total goals per game.
Sint-Truiden conceded 15 goals in their last 15 matches (1.0 per game).
- They kept 5 clean sheets in that span.
- In their last 5 league matches, they conceded only 4 goals (0.8 per game).
The league now features 18 teams playing each other once, with no end-of-season playoffs.
- This is only the second matchday, so both teams are still settling into the new structure.
- No immediate relegation or title pressure exists at this early stage.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Cercle's matches average 3.6 total goals, and 5 of last 5 league games went over 2.5; H2H trend supports goals.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams frequently score in the first half, with Cercle scoring in 11 of last 15 and Sint-Truiden in 9 of 15; H2H shows 4 of 5 with a first-half goal.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Cercle Brugge or Draw

1.41fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 71%

0.0ppshort

Cercle Brugge have lost only 1 of their last 5 home league matches, while Sint-Truiden have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches across all competitions.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cercle Brugge's home advantage and historical H2H dominance give them a slight edge, but recent form is inconsistent, so confidence is low.
- Cercle Brugge won 3 of their last 5 home league matches (W3 D1 L1).
- Sint-Truiden's away form is mixed: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in last 6 away matches across all competitions.
- Cercle Brugge have a historical H2H edge with 20 wins in 41 meetings.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 matches: W2 D2 L1; Sint-Truiden's last 5: W3 D1 L1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCercle BruggeEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cercle Brugge are tough to beat at home, and Sint-Truiden's away record is not strong enough to suggest a likely away win, making a home win or draw probable.
- Cercle Brugge have lost only 1 of their last 5 home league matches.
- Sint-Truiden have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches across all competitions.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Cercle Brugge lost only once (W2 D2 L1).
- Cercle Brugge's overall form: 5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses in last 15; Sint-Truiden: 8 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCercle Brugge or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency for even first halves, with a high number of half-time draws in their recent matches and H2H, making a draw at the break plausible.
- Cercle Brugge led at half-time in 7 of their last 15 matches, trailed in 3, and drew 5.
- Sint-Truiden led at half-time in 4 of their last 15 matches, trailed in 5, and drew 6.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were draws at half-time.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 matches: 3 half-time leads, 1 draw, 1 trail.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by a Cercle Brugge victory is a plausible scenario given their home strength and Sint-Truiden's occasional second-half lapses, though the specific combination is rare.
- Cercle Brugge have drawn at half-time and won full-time in 2 of their last 15 matches.
- Sint-Truiden have lost after a half-time draw in 2 of their last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 2 were draws at half-time, with Cercle Brugge winning one of those full-time.
- Cercle Brugge's home form suggests they can push for a win in the second half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Cercle BruggeEstimated chance25%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games recently, especially Cercle Brugge, and the H2H history supports goals, making Over 2.5 likely.
- Cercle Brugge's last 15 matches averaged 3.6 total goals (1.7 scored, 1.9 conceded).
- Sint-Truiden's last 15 matches averaged 2.8 total goals (1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 league matches all had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently find the net and have defensive vulnerabilities, with a strong H2H pattern of both scoring, indicating a high chance of BTTS.
- Cercle Brugge scored in 13 of their last 15 matches, conceding in 12.
- Sint-Truiden scored in 10 of their last 15 matches, conceding in 8.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 league matches all saw both teams score.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams frequently score in the first half, and the H2H trend shows early goals, making Over 0.5 first-half goals a strong bet.
- Cercle Brugge scored a first-half goal in 11 of their last 15 matches.
- Sint-Truiden scored a first-half goal in 9 of their last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 had a first-half goal.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 league matches all had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Matches involving these teams tend to open up in the second half, with consistent scoring patterns and H2H evidence supporting Over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Cercle Brugge's last 15 matches averaged 1.8 second-half goals (total goals minus first-half goals).
- Sint-Truiden's last 15 matches averaged 1.4 second-half goals.
- In 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, there were over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 league matches all had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a high number of corners, especially Cercle Brugge, and the H2H trend supports a high corner count, making Over 9.5 corners likely.
- Cercle Brugge's last 15 matches averaged 6.6 corners for and 6.1 against, totaling 12.7 corners per match.
- Sint-Truiden's last 15 matches averaged 5.4 corners for and 4.5 against, totaling 9.9 corners per match.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings with corner data, 3 had over 9.5 corners.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 league matches averaged 11.2 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While not high-discipline teams, the card averages are moderate, but the H2H trend and competitive nature of the match could push the total over 3.5 cards.
- Cercle Brugge's last 15 matches averaged 1.5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, opponents averaged 1.5 yellow cards.
- Sint-Truiden's last 15 matches averaged 1.1 yellow cards and 0.5 red cards, opponents averaged 1.3 yellow cards.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings with card data, 3 had over 3.5 cards.
- Cercle Brugge's last 5 league matches averaged 3.2 total cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 43.5% vs our estimate ~35% leaves no edge; odds too short for a low-probability first-half goal burst.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

L2-1St. TruidenvCercle BruggeMar 8, 2026JUP

D1-1Cercle BruggevSt. TruidenAug 29, 2025JUP

W3-1Cercle BruggevSt. TruidenApr 26, 2025JUP

L3-1St. TruidenvCercle BruggeApr 12, 2025JUP

D1-1St. TruidenvCercle BruggeDec 27, 2024JUP

3 goals/game avg

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	2-2	1	D
11	Sint-Truiden	1	0	1	0	1-1	1	D

Recent Form

Cercle Brugge

D2-2Standard LiegeAug 8JUP

D2-2MonacoJul 31FRI

L0-3ReimsJul 25FRI

L2-3PEC ZwolleJul 18FRI

D1-1Lommel UnitedJul 11FRI

L1-4RAAL La LouvièreMay 9JUP

L2-3Zulte WaregemMay 1JUP

W2-1DenderApr 24JUP

W4-1DenderApr 19JUP

W3-0RAAL La LouvièreApr 11JUP

D2-2Zulte WaregemApr 4JUP

W3-2AnderlechtMar 22JUP

L1-3RAAL La LouvièreMar 15JUP

L1-2St. TruidenMar 8JUP

D0-0DenderMar 1JUP

Sint-Truiden

D1-1Lommel UnitedAug 8JUP

L0-3AEK Athens FCAug 2FRI

L0-1Helmond SportAug 1FRI

D0-0Al-JaziraJul 25FRI

W1-0LiègeJul 22FRI

W2-1FC LuzernJul 18FRI

W4-0Patro EisdenJul 15FRI

W6-0Zepperen-BrustemJul 4FRI

W2-1Thes SportJul 1FRI

W3-0KV MechelenMay 24JUP

L1-3AnderlechtMay 21JUP

D1-1GentMay 16JUP

L0-2Club Brugge KVMay 9JUP

W2-1Union St. GilloiseMay 2JUP

W4-1KV MechelenApr 26JUP

Squad & Injuries

Cercle Brugge

26 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Sint-Truiden

23 available

Attackers4

Midfielders10

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Cercle Brugge or Draw

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Over 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Cercle Brugge

Sint-Truiden

Squad & Injuries

Cercle Brugge

Sint-Truiden