ÚrvalsdeildFull time

Predictions graded

Vikingur Reykjavik2IBV Vestmannaeyjar2

HT 1–1Sun 9 Aug 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Aug 2026, 00:10 · Europe/Bucharest

Víkingur’s dominant home form and ÍBV’s poor away record make a home win likely, but European rotation risk means short odds offer no value.

The best betting edge is ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ at 2.15, with a 13.5-point value gap driven by Víkingur’s home clean sheets and ÍBV’s H2H scoring struggles. Wait for team news before backing any Víkingur-related markets.

Context

Víkingur face Thun in the Europa League on 7 August (away) and 14 August (home), with this match on 9 August.
- The three-day gap between the first leg and this league match is short, especially after European travel.
- Víkingur may rest key players to keep them fresh for the decisive second leg.
Víkingur’s home record: 7 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 29 goals scored, 6 conceded.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 8 home league matches.
- Rotation risk means this home form may not fully carry over into this match.
ÍBV’s away record: 1 win, 2 draws, 5 losses, 11 goals scored, 19 conceded.
- They have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- ÍBV have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their 8 away matches this season.
Last 5 H2H results: Víkingur 2-0 (May 2026), 0-0 (Jul 2025), ÍBV 3-0 (Apr 2025 cup), Víkingur 2-0 (Apr 2025), Víkingur 6-0 (Jul 2023).
- ÍBV have failed to score in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- The 3-0 cup win for ÍBV shows they can trouble Víkingur on their day.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.28fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 78%

0.0ppshort

Vikingur's perfect home record and IBV's poor away form make a home win highly likely, though odds are tight.

HT/FTlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Vikingur Reykjavik at half-time / Vikingur Reykjavik at full-time

1.70fair 2.00

BetBugs 50% · Market 59%

0.0ppshort

Vikingur often lead at half-time at home, while IBV frequently trail away, supporting a home HT/FT double.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's dominant home form and IBV's weak away record, combined with the 28-point gap in the standings, make a home win highly likely.
- Vikingur Reykjavik are 1st in the league with 44 points from 17 matches, while IBV are 9th with 16 points.
- Vikingur have a perfect home record this season: 7 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 29 and conceding only 6 in 8 home games.
- IBV have a poor away record: 1 win, 2 draws, 5 losses in 8 away matches, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded.
- Vikingur won the most recent league H2H 2-0 away in May 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVikingur ReykjavikEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's tendency to start strong at home, combined with IBV's frequent first-half deficits on the road, points to a home lead at the break.
- Vikingur lead at half-time in 40% of their matches overall, and in 50% of home matches (4 out of 8).
- IBV trail at half-time in 47% of their matches, and in 62.5% of away matches (5 out of 8).
- Vikingur average 0.9 first-half goals per match, while IBV concede 1.0 first-half goal per match.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Vikingur led at half-time in 2 matches, with no IBV leads.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostVikingur ReykjavikEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's pattern of controlling matches from the start at home, combined with IBV's tendency to fall behind early away, supports a home HT/FT double.
- Vikingur have led at half-time and won the match in 4 of their 8 home games this season.
- IBV have trailed at half-time and lost the match in 4 of their 8 away games.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Vikingur led at half-time and won twice.
- Vikingur's home record shows they are dominant in both halves.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostVikingur Reykjavik / Vikingur ReykjavikEstimated chance50%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's high-scoring home attack and IBV's leaky defense point to a match with at least 3 goals, supported by recent H2H trends.
- Vikingur average 2.5 goals per match overall and 3.6 goals per home match this season.
- IBV concede 2.2 goals per match on average, and 2.4 per away match.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 2.5 goals, including a 6-0 and a 3-0.
- Vikingur's last 5 league matches have seen 3 or more total goals in 4 of them.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's strong home defense and IBV's scoring struggles on the road, especially in H2H matchups, suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Vikingur have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 8 home league matches.
- IBV have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, IBV failed to score in 4 of them.
- Vikingur concede only 0.75 goals per home match on average.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's defensive solidity at home and IBV's historical scoring difficulties against them make a home clean sheet probable.
- Vikingur have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home league matches this season.
- IBV have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, IBV failed to score in 4 of them.
- Vikingur's home goals conceded average is 0.75 per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostIBV Vestmannaeyjar not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' match data shows a high frequency of first-half goals, making over 0.5 goals in the first half very likely.
- Vikingur average 0.9 first-half goals per match, and IBV concede 1.0 first-half goal per match.
- In Vikingur's 8 home matches, there has been a first-half goal in 7 of them.
- IBV's away matches have seen a first-half goal in 7 out of 8.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 matches had at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's strong second-half scoring at home and IBV's defensive frailties after the break suggest at least 2 second-half goals.
- Vikingur score 1.6 second-half goals per home match on average (total home goals 3.6 minus first-half 0.9, assuming similar split).
- IBV concede 1.4 second-half goals per away match on average (total away conceded 2.4 minus first-half 1.0).
- In Vikingur's last 5 league matches, 4 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- IBV's last 5 away matches have seen over 1.5 second-half goals in 3 of them.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data makes this a low-confidence call, but Vikingur's attacking style and IBV's defensive posture could lead to a higher corner count.
- Vikingur average 4 corners per match overall, but corner data is sparse.
- In the only match with corner data (vs Gyori ETO), total corners were 9.
- IBV's corner data is unavailable, but their defensive record suggests they concede pressure and thus corners.
- League average corners in Úrvalsdeild is typically around 9-10 per match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 65% leaves no cushion vs our 60% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

W0-2IBV VestmannaeyjarvVikingur ReykjavikMay 17, 2026ÚRV

D0-0IBV VestmannaeyjarvVikingur ReykjavikJul 5, 2025ÚRV

L3-0IBV VestmannaeyjarvVikingur ReykjavikApr 17, 2025CUP

W2-0Vikingur ReykjavikvIBV VestmannaeyjarApr 7, 2025ÚRV

W6-0Vikingur ReykjavikvIBV VestmannaeyjarJul 30, 2023ÚRV

Vikingur Reykjavik: 4 clean sheetsIBV Vestmannaeyjar: 2 clean sheets2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	17	14	2	1	56-14	44	DWLWW
9	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	17	4	4	9	27-36	16	LLDLW

28pt gap between teamsVikingur Reykjavik leads the league

Recent Form

Vikingur Reykjavik

D2-2IA AkranesAug 2ÚRV

L0-2Hapoel Beer ShevaJul 29UEF

W5-1KeflavikJul 24ÚRV

W2-1Hapoel Beer ShevaJul 21UEF

L1-2Thor AkureyriJul 18ÚRV

D2-2Gyori ETO FCJul 14UEF

W1-0Gyori ETO FCJul 7UEF

W3-2KA AkureyriJul 2ÚRV

L0-3BreidablikJun 28CUP

W4-1BreidablikJun 25ÚRV

W5-0Fram ReykjavikJun 21ÚRV

W2-0KR ReykjavikJun 16ÚRV

W2-1IA AkranesJun 12CUP

W5-1Valur ReykjavikMay 31ÚRV

W3-1StjarnanMay 26ÚRV

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

L1-2Fram ReykjavikAug 1ÚRV

L0-1BreidablikJul 27ÚRV

D2-2KA AkureyriJul 19ÚRV

L2-5KR ReykjavikJul 12ÚRV

W1-0Valur ReykjavikJul 4ÚRV

D1-1FH hafnarfjordurJun 28ÚRV

W2-1StjarnanJun 21ÚRV

W4-1Thor AkureyriJun 14ÚRV

W6-1KeflavikMay 31ÚRV

D2-2IA AkranesMay 21ÚRV

L0-2Vikingur ReykjavikMay 17ÚRV

L0-2KA AkureyriMay 10ÚRV

L1-2BreidablikMay 3ÚRV

L1-5Fram ReykjavikApr 27ÚRV

L2-6KR ReykjavikApr 23ÚRV

Squad & Injuries

Vikingur Reykjavik

28 available

Attackers4

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

25 available

Attackers9

Midfielders10

Defenders5

Goalkeeper1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Vikingur Reykjavik

Vikingur Reykjavik at half-time / Vikingur Reykjavik at full-time

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Vikingur Reykjavik

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Squad & Injuries

Vikingur Reykjavik

IBV Vestmannaeyjar