Super Nova Riga vs FK Liepaja: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
FK Liepaja holds a slight edge due to historical H2H dominance and marginally better recent form, but both teams have poor home/away splits, reducing confidence.
- Super Nova home record: 2W-2D-7L, 13GF/22GA in 11 matches this season
- FK Liepaja away record: 3W-2D-8L, 11GF/25GA in 13 matches this season
- H2H last 5: FK Liepaja won 3, Super Nova won 2; FK Liepaja won most recent meeting 2-1 at home
- Super Nova last 5 form: W-L-W-L-L (6GF/10GA); FK Liepaja last 5 form: L-L-W-L-W (6GF/8GA)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFK LiepajaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Super Nova's poor home form makes a home win unlikely, while FK Liepaja's away struggles prevent high confidence in an outright away win, making double chance away/draw the safer play.
- Super Nova home win rate: 18% (2/11); FK Liepaja away win rate: 23% (3/13)
- Combined draw rate in this fixture: 20% (1/5 last H2H)
- Super Nova lost 7 of 11 home games; FK Liepaja lost 8 of 13 away games
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FK LiepajaEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into halftime level, with neither showing consistent first-half dominance, making a draw at halftime a plausible outcome.
- Super Nova home half-time results: 13% leading, 27% trailing, 60% drawing (based on averages)
- FK Liepaja away half-time results: 27% leading, 40% trailing, 33% drawing
- Last 5 H2H first halves: 2 draws, 2 FK Liepaja leads, 1 Super Nova lead
- Super Nova last 5 first halves: 2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win; FK Liepaja last 5 first halves: 2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a draw at halftime is common for Super Nova, FK Liepaja's ability to win from a drawn halftime position is limited, making this a low-probability but possible scenario.
- Super Nova home: drew at halftime in 60% of matches, but lost full-time in 64%
- FK Liepaja away: drew at halftime in 33%, won full-time in 23%
- Last 5 H2H: 1 match had draw/FK Liepaja pattern
- Super Nova last 5: 1 draw at halftime, lost full-time; FK Liepaja last 5: 2 draws at halftime, 1 win full-time
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / FK LiepajaEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches trend towards higher scoring, especially in H2H encounters, and Super Nova's leaky home defense (2.0 goals conceded per home game) supports over 2.5 goals.
- Super Nova home matches average 3.18 total goals (35 goals in 11 games)
- FK Liepaja away matches average 2.77 total goals (36 goals in 13 games)
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals
- Super Nova last 5: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals; FK Liepaja last 5: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently find the net but also concede regularly, especially in H2H matchups, making BTTS a strong probability.
- Super Nova scored in 9 of 11 home games (82%); conceded in 10 of 11 home games (91%)
- FK Liepaja scored in 8 of 13 away games (62%); conceded in 11 of 13 away games (85%)
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 4 of 5 matches
- Super Nova last 5: both teams scored in 4 of 5; FK Liepaja last 5: both teams scored in 3 of 5
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring trends are mixed, but H2H history and both teams' tendency to concede early suggest a moderate chance of over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Super Nova home first-half goals: 0.5 scored, 0.9 conceded on average
- FK Liepaja away first-half goals: 0.8 scored, 0.8 conceded on average
- Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 had over 1.5 first-half goals
- Super Nova last 5 first halves: 2 of 5 had over 1.5; FK Liepaja last 5 first halves: 3 of 5 had over 1.5
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data, but FK Liepaja's involvement in higher-corner matches in Europe and typical league averages suggest a moderate chance of over 8.5 corners.
- FK Liepaja averages 4.5 corners per game overall; opponent corners average unknown
- Super Nova corner data unavailable; league average corners typically around 9-10
- FK Liepaja's recent European matches: 9 corners vs Austria Vienna (home), 11 corners vs Austria Vienna (away)
- No H2H corner data available
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With only FK Liepaja's moderate card numbers and no Super Nova data, over 3.5 cards is a speculative call based on typical league averages.
- FK Liepaja averages 2 yellow cards per game, 1 red card overall; fouls 9 per game
- Super Nova card data unavailable; league average cards typically around 3-4
- FK Liepaja's recent European matches: 2 yellow, 1 red vs Austria Vienna (away); 2 yellow vs Austria Vienna (home)
- No H2H card data available
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance40%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Super Nova Riga	23	8	3	12	25-35	27	WLWLL
5	FK Liepaja	24	9	4	11	31-36	31	LWLWL

Super Nova Riga1FK Liepaja2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

FK Liepaja

Draw or FK Liepaja

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Super Nova Riga

FK Liepaja at half-time / FK Liepaja at full-time

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Super Nova Riga

FK Liepaja

Squad & Injuries

Super Nova Riga

FK Liepaja