Stjarnan11 – 0Keflavik0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have poor home/away records respectively, and their recent form is inconsistent, with the most recent league meeting ending in a draw, suggesting a stalemate is plausible.

• Stjarnan's home record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in 8 matches (25% win rate).
• Keflavik's away record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in 8 matches (25% win rate).
• Last league H2H (May 2026) ended 1-1 at Keflavik.
• Stjarnan's last 5 matches: W-L-W-L-D; Keflavik's last 5: W-L-W-L-D.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A low-scoring stalemate is possible given both teams' inconsistent form and the recent H2H draw, but the evidence is thin, warranting low confidence.

• Stjarnan have drawn at half-time in 5 of last 15, and full-time in 3 of last 15.
• Keflavik have drawn at half-time in 4 of last 15, and full-time in 4 of last 15.
• Last league H2H was 0-0 at half-time and 1-1 full-time.
• Both teams have a draw in 1 of their last 5 matches.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently produce high-scoring matches, and their recent H2H history strongly supports over 2.5 goals, driven by leaky defenses and attacking intent.

• Stjarnan's last 15 matches averaged 3.9 total goals (1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded).
• Keflavik's last 15 matches averaged 3.5 total goals (1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded).
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 produced over 2.5 goals (2-1, 1-1, 4-2, 4-1, 3-0).
• Stjarnan's home matches this season average 4.5 total goals (16 scored, 20 conceded in 8 games).

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides have consistent scoring records and weak defenses, and their H2H pattern shows frequent goals at both ends, making BTTS highly likely.

• Stjarnan scored in 13 of their last 15 matches, failing only against KR Reykjavik (0-5) and Fram Reykjavik (0-1).
• Keflavik scored in 13 of their last 15 matches, failing only against Breidablik (0-0) and Vikingur Reykjavik (1-5).
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in 4 (2-1, 1-1, 4-2, 4-1).
• Stjarnan conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches; Keflavik conceded in 12 of their last 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to concede early, and their H2H matches often feature multiple first-half goals, supporting over 1.5 in the opening period.

• Stjarnan's last 15 matches: 0.7 first-half goals scored, 1.2 conceded (avg 1.9 total first-half goals).
• Keflavik's last 15 matches: 0.8 first-half goals scored, 0.7 conceded (avg 1.5 total first-half goals).
• In the last 5 H2H, first-half goals: 1-1, 2-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-0 (all had at least 1 goal, 4 had 2+).
• Stjarnan trailed at half-time in 47% of matches; Keflavik led at half-time in 40%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Matches involving these sides tend to open up after the break, with defensive lapses leading to multiple second-half goals, as seen in their recent encounters.

• Stjarnan's matches average 2.0 second-half goals (total 3.9 - 1.9 first-half).
• Keflavik's matches average 2.0 second-half goals (total 3.5 - 1.5 first-half).
• In 4 of the last 5 H2H, second-half goals exceeded 1.5 (2, 1, 2, 3, 2).
• Both teams concede heavily in the second half: Stjarnan 1.0, Keflavik 1.1 on average.