Rangers11 – 2Hibernian2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Rangers' superior attacking stats and home advantage under a new manager with high motivation outweigh Hibernian's recent H2H success, making a home win the most likely outcome.

• Rangers averaged 2.4 goals per game over last 15 matches, with 17.9 shots per game and 56.6% possession.
• Hibernian conceded 1.1 goals per game on average but lost their last league match 1-2 at home to Motherwell.
• Rangers have won 2 of the last 3 home H2Hs, though Hibernian won the most recent meeting at Ibrox 2-1 in May 2026.
• This is Rangers' first home league match under new manager Derek McInnes, with ownership demanding a response after a trophyless season.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRangersEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Rangers' strong home form and Hibernian's poor away record make a Rangers win or draw highly probable.

• Rangers have lost only 1 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions (W3 D1 L1).
• Hibernian have won only 1 of their last 5 away league matches (W1 D1 L3).
• In the last 5 H2Hs, Rangers have lost only once at home to Hibernian.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostRangers or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of half-time draws in H2Hs and both teams' moderate first-half performances suggest a drawn first half.

• Rangers led at half-time in only 40% of their last 15 matches, while Hibernian led in 40%.
• In the last 5 H2Hs, 3 were draws at half-time.
• Rangers' last 5 home matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss at half-time.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half-time followed by a Rangers win is a plausible scenario given Rangers' second-half strength at home, but the low probability reflects the difficulty of predicting exact sequences.

• Rangers have come from behind to win or draw in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
• Hibernian have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches after being level or behind at half-time.
• In the last H2H at Ibrox, the half-time result was 1-1, and Hibernian won 2-1.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/RangersEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The recent H2H trend of low-scoring affairs and Hibernian's defensive solidity on the road suggest a tight match with under 2.5 goals.

• Three of the last four H2H meetings finished with under 2.5 goals.
• Hibernian's last 5 away league matches averaged 1.8 total goals, with 3 of 5 under 2.5.
• Rangers' last 5 home matches averaged 3.4 total goals, but 2 of those were against weaker opposition (Falkirk, Dundee Utd).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, and the H2H history shows few first-half goals, supporting under 1.5 in the first half.

• Rangers averaged 1.1 first-half goals in their last 15 matches, while Hibernian averaged 1.1 first-half goals.
• In the last 5 H2Hs, only 1 match had over 1.5 first-half goals.
• Hibernian's last 5 away matches had an average of 0.8 first-half goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Hibernian's high card count and the competitive nature of this fixture could lead to over 3.5 cards, though confidence is low due to variability.

• Rangers averaged 1.8 yellow cards per game, Hibernian 2.6 in their last 15 matches.
• In the last 5 H2Hs, total cards were 5, 4, 3, 4, and 2 (average 3.6).
• Hibernian received 5 yellow cards in their last league match.