KuPS11 – 1TPS Turku1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

KuPS's strong home form and TPS's inability to win away make a home win or draw highly likely, even accounting for possible KuPS rotation.

• KuPS are unbeaten at home this season (6 wins, 3 draws in 9 matches).
• TPS Turku have failed to win any of their 8 away matches this season.
• KuPS have lost only 1 league match all season.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonKuPS or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

KuPS's tendency to start strongly and TPS's vulnerability early in away games suggest KuPS are likely to be ahead at the break, though rotation could slow their start.

• KuPS lead at half-time in 60% of their matches this season.
• TPS trail at half-time in 47% of their matches.
• KuPS have scored a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
• TPS have conceded a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonKuPSEstimated chance50%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The consistent BTTS pattern in H2H and TPS's ability to score on the road, coupled with potential defensive rotation for KuPS, make both teams scoring a reasonable outcome.

• Both teams scored in all 5 recent H2H meetings.
• TPS have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
• KuPS have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 5 home matches across all competitions.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' first-half stats and the H2H history indicate a high likelihood of at least one goal before half-time.

• KuPS average 1.1 first-half goals per match.
• TPS concede 0.7 first-half goals per match on average.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, there was a first-half goal in every match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The limited corner data suggests a combined average around 7-7.5, making over 8.5 a marginal call, but KuPS's higher corner count at home could push the total higher.

• KuPS average 5 corners per match, TPS average 2.8.
• In the 3 matches where corner data is available for KuPS, they averaged 5 corners and opponents averaged 2.3, totaling 7.3.
• In the 5 matches where corner data is available for TPS, they averaged 3.4 corners and opponents averaged 3.8, totaling 7.2.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have relatively low card counts, and the combined averages suggest under 3.5 cards is more likely than not.

• KuPS average 1.6 yellow cards per match, TPS average 0.7.
• In the 5 matches where card data is available for KuPS, they averaged 1.6 yellows and opponents 1.0, totaling 2.6.
• In the 5 matches where card data is available for TPS, they averaged 0.8 yellows and opponents 1.8, totaling 2.6.