Jaguares11 – 1Once Caldas1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Jaguares' current form is dire with no wins in Clausura, while Once Caldas are hard to beat; the double chance covers the most likely outcomes.

• Jaguares have not won in Clausura (0 points from 3 games).
• Once Caldas have lost only 2 of 19 league matches this season.
• H2H last 5: Jaguares 2 wins, Once Caldas 1 win, 2 draws – but Jaguares' wins were in 2023-24 when they were stronger.
• Jaguares home record this season: 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses – but all wins came in Apertura, none in Clausura.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Once CaldasEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jaguares rarely lead at half-time and Once Caldas are not fast starters away; the most common half-time outcome in this fixture is a draw.

• Jaguares first-half results this season: led at HT in 7% of matches, trailed in 33%, drew 60%.
• Once Caldas first-half results: led 33%, trailed 20%, drew 47%.
• H2H last 5: 4 draws at half-time, 1 Once Caldas lead.
• Jaguares Clausura first halves: 0-0, 0-3, 0-0 (two draws, one loss).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

H2H history strongly favors low-scoring affairs, and Jaguares' attacking impotence in Clausura makes a high-scoring game unlikely.

• Jaguares Clausura: 0 goals scored, 6 conceded in 3 matches (avg 2.0 total goals per game).
• Once Caldas Clausura: 7 scored, 4 conceded in 3 matches (avg 3.67 total goals per game, but skewed by a 5-1 win over Cucuta).
• H2H last 5: 4 of 5 had under 2.5 goals (scores: 1-1, 2-0, 3-0, 0-0, 1-0).
• Jaguares home league matches this season: 10 games, 26 total goals (avg 2.6), but 6 of 10 had under 2.5.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, especially Jaguares; the H2H pattern of goalless first halves is very strong, making under 1.5 first-half goals highly likely.

• Jaguares first-half goals this season: 0.3 per game overall, 0 in Clausura (3 matches).
• Once Caldas first-half goals this season: 0.8 per game overall, Clausura: 2 first-half goals in 3 matches (both in 5-1 win).
• H2H last 5: first-half goals – 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 (only one match had a first-half goal).
• Jaguares home first-half record: 7 of 10 league matches had 0 or 1 first-half goal.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate corner counts, and the match is expected to be low-event; a total under 9.5 corners aligns with their season averages.

• Jaguares average corners per game: 3.9, opponent corners: 4.4 (total ~8.3).
• Once Caldas average corners per game: 4.8, opponent corners: 4.9 (total ~9.7).
• H2H corner data unavailable, but both teams' averages suggest a total around 8-10.
• Jaguares home corners: 4.0 per game, Once Caldas away corners: 4.3 per game.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams accumulate cards at a rate that suggests over 4.5 total cards is slightly more likely than not, though confidence is low without H2H card history.

• Jaguares average yellow cards: 2.5 per game, red cards: 0.5.
• Once Caldas average yellow cards: 2.4 per game, red cards: 0.7.
• Combined average cards per game: ~5.5 (yellows + reds).
• No specific H2H card data, but both teams have above-average discipline issues.