Over 0.5
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 75%
Istra 1961 scored in 12 of last 15 away matches; Hajduk conceded in 11 of last 15 home matches.
HNLFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Istra 1961 to score over 0.5 goals at 1.67, offering a +15.1 point edge given their consistent away scoring and Hajduk's leaky home defense.
Both teams to score at 1.91 also holds value, while Hajduk's match winner odds are too short to back despite their historical home dominance.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 75%
Istra 1961 scored in 12 of last 15 away matches; Hajduk conceded in 11 of last 15 home matches.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 65%
Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings, and both sides have consistent scoring records.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 80% · Market 91%
Hajduk's strong home record and Istra's poor away form make a home win or draw highly likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 72% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0 |

