FS Jelgava00 – 1FK Auda1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Auda's strong H2H dominance and superior away form give them a clear edge, though their congested European schedule introduces some rotation risk, capping confidence at MEDIUM.

• Auda have won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings in Virsliga, including a 2-0 home win in July 2025 and a 3-2 away win in April 2026.
• Auda's away record this season: 7 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in 12 matches (17 GF, 12 GA).
• Jelgava's home record: 4 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses in 13 matches (13 GF, 22 GA).
• Jelgava have lost 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, conceding 10 goals in those 4 losses.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFK AudaEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Jelgava's poor home form and Auda's strong away record, combined with H2H history, make a Jelgava win unlikely, supporting a high-probability double chance for Auda or draw.

• Jelgava have won only 4 of 13 home matches this season, with a -9 goal difference at home.
• Auda have lost only 2 of 12 away matches this season.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Jelgava have won only once (3-1 in May 2025), with Auda winning 3 and 1 draw.
• Jelgava's recent form: 4 losses in last 5 matches, scoring only 1 goal in those 4 losses.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FK AudaEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Auda's tendency to start stronger in H2H matchups and Jelgava's frequent first-half deficits give Auda a slight edge, but the low overall first-half win rate for both teams keeps confidence LOW.

• Auda have led at half-time in 33% of recent matches, while Jelgava have trailed at half-time in 47%.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Auda led at half-time in 3 matches (Jelgava led in 1, 1 draw).
• Jelgava have failed to score in the first half in 7 of their last 15 matches.
• Auda have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 15 matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonFK AudaEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding patterns, along with H2H evidence, suggest a high likelihood of at least one goal before the break.

• Jelgava's first-half record: 0.6 goals scored, 0.6 conceded per match on average; 87% of their matches have seen a first-half goal (13 of 15 recent matches).
• Auda's first-half record: 0.5 goals scored, 0.5 conceded per match on average; 73% of their recent matches have seen a first-half goal (11 of 15).
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 had a first-half goal (scores at HT: 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0).
• Jelgava have trailed at half-time in 47% of recent matches, while Auda have led at half-time in 33%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Due to missing corner statistics, this prediction is speculative and based on league norms and inferred playing styles, resulting in LOW confidence.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches, so this prediction relies on league averages and stylistic assumptions.
• Virsliga matches average approximately 9.5 corners per game based on typical league trends.
• Auda's attacking style and Jelgava's defensive pressure suggest a higher corner count, but no concrete data supports this.
• The last H2H meeting with available corner data (not provided) is assumed to have been above 8.5 based on general match flow.