AC Oulu vs HJK: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AC Oulu's strong home form and full rest week, combined with HJK's congested schedule and recent H2H losses, make the double chance highly likely.
- AC Oulu home record this season: 6W-1D-1L, 10 goals scored, 5 conceded in 8 matches.
- HJK away record: 3W-2D-3L, 15 scored, 9 conceded in 8 matches.
- AC Oulu won both 2026 H2H meetings (1-0 away, 2-1 home in Liigacup).
- HJK plays 3 matches in 6 days (Mon-Thu-Sun) with European travel; AC Oulu had a full week to prepare.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAC Oulu or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AC Oulu's home resilience and HJK's fatigue from a Monday-Thursday-Sunday schedule strongly favor the home side to avoid defeat.
- AC Oulu home record: 6W-1D-1L, only 5 goals conceded in 8 home games.
- HJK away record: 3W-2D-3L, with 9 goals conceded in 8 away games.
- HJK's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, but the loss was away to Lahti (0-2).
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: 3W-1D-1L, including a win over KuPS.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostAC Oulu or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously in big matches, and AC Oulu's home matches often see a goalless first half, making a draw at the break likely.
- AC Oulu's first half record at home: led at HT in 13% of matches, trailed in 40% (overall averages).
- HJK's first half record away: led at HT in 60% of matches, but recent away first halves have been mixed.
- Last 5 H2H first halves: 3 draws, 1 HJK lead, 1 AC Oulu lead.
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: 3 were 0-0 at HT.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by an AC Oulu breakthrough is plausible given their home strength and HJK's fatigue, but the specific combination is rare.
- AC Oulu has come from behind to win at home once this season (vs KuPS, 2-0 after 0-0 HT).
- HJK has lost only one away match after leading at HT (vs Lahti, led 1-0, lost 1-2).
- Last 5 H2H: no instance of Draw/AC Oulu.
- AC Oulu's home matches: 3 draws at HT, with 2 resulting in wins.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/AC OuluEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
AC Oulu's tight home defense and HJK's potential fatigue from a packed schedule suggest a low-scoring affair, consistent with recent H2H trends.
- AC Oulu home matches average 1.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game (total 1.88).
- HJK away matches average 1.88 scored and 1.13 conceded (total 3.01), but recent away form is inconsistent.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals, including both 2026 meetings (1-0, 2-1).
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AC Oulu's strong home defense and HJK's occasional away scoring struggles, combined with a low-scoring H2H pattern, point to at least one side failing to score.
- AC Oulu kept 4 clean sheets in 8 home matches this season.
- HJK failed to score in 2 of their last 5 away matches (0-2 vs Lahti, 0-4 vs KuPS).
- In the last 5 H2H, both teams scored only once (2-1 in Liigacup 2026).
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: both teams scored in only 2.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AC Oulu's home matches consistently produce few first-half goals, and HJK's fatigue may slow their start, reinforcing a low-scoring opening period.
- AC Oulu averages 0.3 first-half goals at home, conceding 0.8.
- HJK averages 1.5 first-half goals overall, but away from home this drops.
- Last 5 H2H first halves: 4 had 0 or 1 goal.
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: all had under 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
As the match opens up and fatigue sets in for HJK, the second half could see more goals, though the evidence is mixed.
- AC Oulu's home matches average 1.25 second-half goals (total match average 1.88 minus first-half 0.63).
- HJK's away matches average 1.75 second-half goals (total 3.01 minus first-half 1.26).
- Last 5 H2H: 3 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: 3 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner numbers are modest, and HJK's low corner count away from home suggests a total under 9.5 is likely.
- AC Oulu averages 5.4 corners per match at home, conceding 5.4 (total 10.8).
- HJK averages 2.5 corners per match away, conceding 2.5 (total 5.0).
- Last 5 H2H with corner data: only 1 match had over 9.5 corners.
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches with corner data: 3 had under 9.5 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither team is particularly aggressive, and the match importance may lead to cautious play, keeping cards low.
- AC Oulu averages 1.2 yellow cards at home, 0.2 red cards.
- HJK averages 1.3 yellow cards away, 0.5 red cards.
- Last 5 H2H: card data unavailable, but both teams have moderate discipline records.
- AC Oulu's last 5 home matches: only 1 had over 3.5 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableUnder 3.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	AC Oulu Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)	18	9	3	6	22-21	30	WDLLD
4	HJK Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)	17	8	4	5	28-20	28	WWLLW

AC Oulu0HJK1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

AC Oulu or Draw

Draw

Under 1.5

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

AC Oulu

HJK

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

AC Oulu

HJK

Squad & Injuries

AC Oulu

HJK