Stoke City22 – 0Oldham Athletic0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides have consistent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, making a goal from each likely in this cup tie.

• Stoke City scored in 11 of last 15 matches, failing to score only 4 times.
• Oldham Athletic scored in 12 of last 15 matches, failing to score only 3 times.
• Both teams scored in 8 of Stoke's last 15 matches and 9 of Oldham's last 15.
• Oldham conceded in 12 of last 15 matches, including 3 goals in 3 of last 4 friendlies.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent matches trend toward higher-scoring affairs, and Oldham's leaky defense against stronger opponents increases the likelihood of multiple goals.

• Stoke City's last 15 matches averaged 2.7 total goals; 9 of 15 had over 2.5 goals.
• Oldham Athletic's last 15 matches averaged 3.0 total goals; 10 of 15 had over 2.5 goals.
• Oldham's last 4 friendlies saw 4, 1, 4, and 4 total goals, with 3 of 4 over 2.5.
• Stoke's last 5 competitive matches had 2, 4, 4, 2, and 2 goals, with 2 of 5 over 2.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have a tendency to see first-half action, with goals in the opening period in most recent outings, suggesting at least one before the break.

• Stoke City scored a first-half goal in 6 of last 15 matches, conceding in 8.
• Oldham Athletic scored a first-half goal in 8 of last 15 matches, conceding in 7.
• In Stoke's last 5 matches, first-half goals occurred in 4 (total 5 goals).
• In Oldham's last 5 matches, first-half goals occurred in 4 (total 7 goals).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Stoke's high corner count at home could drive the total over 9.5, but Oldham's lower numbers and the cup context introduce uncertainty.

• Stoke City averaged 7.2 corners per match in last 15, with opponents averaging 4.5.
• Oldham Athletic averaged 4.8 corners per match in last 15, with opponents averaging 5.3.
• Combined average corners in Stoke's matches: 11.7; in Oldham's: 10.1.
• In Stoke's last 5 competitive matches with corner data, total corners: 17, 9, 12, 7, 8 (avg 10.6).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined averages hover around the line, but Stoke's recent low shot accuracy and Oldham's moderate output make this a borderline call.

• Stoke City averaged 3.6 shots on target per match in last 15, opponents 3.9.
• Oldham Athletic averaged 4.5 shots on target per match in last 15, opponents 4.3.
• Combined average shots on target: Stoke matches 7.5, Oldham matches 8.8.
• In Stoke's last 5 competitive matches with shot data, total shots on target: 7, 7, 10, 3, 3 (avg 6.0).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The cup environment may lead to more cards than league averages, but both teams' discipline records are not excessively high, making over 3.5 a coin flip.

• Stoke City averaged 2.1 yellow cards and 0.07 red cards per match in last 15.
• Oldham Athletic averaged 1.2 yellow cards and 0.03 red cards per match in last 15.
• Combined average cards: Stoke matches 3.3, Oldham matches 2.5.
• Cup ties often see increased intensity and bookings.