Colon Montevideo or Draw
BetBugs 65% · Market 69%
Colón's home resilience and Cerrito's away struggles make the home side avoiding defeat likely.
Segunda DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A promotion-pressure match likely to be low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals the most probable outcome, but the market offers no significant value edge.
The draw is the most likely result, yet odds are fair, making it a game to watch rather than bet heavily on.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 69%
Colón's home resilience and Cerrito's away struggles make the home side avoiding defeat likely.
BetBugs 45% · Market 50%
Both teams have moderate first-half records and H2H shows a tendency for level scores at the break.
BetBugs 60% · Market 64.5%
Both teams average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over last 15; 7 of last 10 combined matches stayed under 2.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 31% leaves no cushion vs our 35% estimate; the edge is marginal and the market is efficient on this outcome.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colon Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8-5 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8-8 | 9 |

