Draw or Union Omaha
Market 62.5% · BetBugs 70%
Omaha's consistency and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, while Chattanooga's home resilience suggests a draw is possible, supporting a high-probability double chance.
USL League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Union Omaha's historical edge and second-half strength make Draw or Union Omaha at 1.60 the top value play, with a 7-point edge over implied probability.
Avoid over 2.5 goals and first-half markets, where odds underestimate the likelihood of a cagey start, and consider the second-half goal trends if a live betting opportunity arises.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 62.5% · BetBugs 70%
Omaha's consistency and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, while Chattanooga's home resilience suggests a draw is possible, supporting a high-probability double chance.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%
Both teams average over 3.0 total goals in recent matches and 4 of last 5 H2H meetings exceeded 2.5 goals.
BetBugs 60% · Market 66.7%
Both sides consistently find the net, with Chattanooga scoring in 13 of 15 and Omaha in 12 of 15 recent matches.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 40% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
Union Omaha has fulfilled only 1 of 5 recent match-winner predictions. The average estimated probability was 48.6%, yet they won just once, with three losses and one draw. Their sole win came at home, while all three away projections failed.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chattanooga Red WolvesPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30-22 | 28 |
| 1 | Union OmahaPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 31-21 | 38 |

