Yongin FC22 – 0Busan IPark0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Busan's strong away form and promotion urgency (high motivation) give them an edge over Yongin's poor home record, though Busan's recent dip in form tempers confidence.

• Busan IPark away record: 5W-1D-3L, 18 goals scored, 15 conceded in 9 away matches this season.
• Yongin FC home record: 1W-5D-4L, 12 goals scored, 16 conceded in 10 home matches.
• Busan IPark last 5 league matches: L-L-L-W-D, but overall season form 11W-3D-5L, 37 goals scored.
• Yongin FC last 5 matches: D-D-L-D-W, with only 1 win in last 5, and 3 draws.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBusan IParkEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Yongin's inability to win at home (only 1 win) combined with Busan's promotion stakes makes a Busan win or draw highly likely; Yongin's high draw rate adds protection.

• Yongin FC home win rate: only 10% (1 win in 10 home matches).
• Busan IPark away loss rate: 33% (3 losses in 9 away matches).
• Yongin FC draws: 10 draws in 19 matches overall, 5 draws in 10 home matches.
• Busan IPark draws: 3 draws in 19 matches overall, 1 draw in 9 away matches.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Busan IParkEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Busan's superior first half performance and Yongin's low lead rate suggest Busan could lead at the break, but the low probability reflects Yongin's resilience and Busan's recent form.

• Busan IPark leading at half time in 47% of matches this season.
• Yongin FC trailing at half time in 20% of matches, leading in 13%.
• Busan IPark first half goals: 0.9 per match vs Yongin's 0.5 conceded.
• H2H: 0-0 at half time in the only meeting.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostBusan IParkEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half time is common for Yongin, and Busan's strong second half could turn it into a win, but the specific combination is not highly probable.

• Yongin FC half time draws: 10 of 19 matches (53%).
• Busan IPark half time leads: 47% of matches.
• Busan IPark wins when leading at half time: 8 of 9 times.
• Yongin FC losses when drawing at half time: 2 of 10 times.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Busan IParkEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches trend towards over 2.5 goals, especially Busan's high-scoring away games; the only H2H ended 2-0, but current form suggests more goals.

• Busan IPark matches average 3.37 total goals (37 scored, 27 conceded in 19 matches).
• Yongin FC matches average 2.74 total goals (23 scored, 29 conceded in 19 matches).
• Busan IPark away matches: 18 goals scored, 15 conceded in 9 matches, average 3.67 total goals.
• Yongin FC home matches: 12 goals scored, 16 conceded in 10 matches, average 2.8 total goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

High BTTS rates for both sides, especially in their respective home/away splits, indicate a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net.

• Busan IPark: both teams scored in 11 of 19 matches (58%).
• Yongin FC: both teams scored in 12 of 19 matches (63%).
• Busan IPark away: both teams scored in 6 of 9 away matches (67%).
• Yongin FC home: both teams scored in 7 of 10 home matches (70%).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Busan's tendency to score early (0.9 first half goals) and Yongin's vulnerability (conceding 0.5 first half) make a first half goal likely.

• Busan IPark first half goals: 0.9 per match average, conceded 0.6 per match.
• Yongin FC first half goals: 0.5 per match average, conceded 0.5 per match.
• Busan IPark last 5 matches: first half goals in 4 of 5 matches.
• Yongin FC last 5 matches: first half goals in 3 of 5 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and Busan's away matches often see late goals, pushing the second half total over 1.5.

• Busan IPark second half goals: average 1.0 per match (1.9 total - 0.9 first half).
• Yongin FC second half goals: average 0.7 per match (1.2 total - 0.5 first half).
• Busan IPark away second half: 6 of 9 away matches had over 1.5 second half goals.
• Yongin FC home second half: 5 of 10 home matches had over 1.5 second half goals.