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Predictions graded

SonderjyskE0Viborg FF1

HT 0–0Fri 7 Aug 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–460%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 34%–66%ShotsShots 9–18On targetOn target 3–4CornersCorners 4–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Aug 2026, 23:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Sønderjyske’s late attacking sale and new coaching setup create significant uncertainty, while Viborg’s stability gives them a slight edge.

The best value is in the double chance ‘Draw or Viborg’ at 1.40 (+1pt edge) and the first-half draw at 2.30 (+2pts), but avoid over 2.5 goals and both teams to score due to negative value.

Context

Hyseni was described by the club as match-deciding during the spring championship round.
- Haltvik joined from KFUM Oslo on July 30, giving him barely a week with the squad.
- Sønderjyske's attack must now replace a proven scorer with an unproven newcomer.
Abdirahman began his first senior head-coaching role on June 19.
- Oliver-Pearce's responsibilities include match preparation and in-game management.
- The coaching team has had minimal time together to implement their ideas.
Viborg's official staff list confirms Lund and his established backroom team.
- No late-window exits or coaching changes have disrupted Viborg's preparation.
- Stability could give Viborg an edge in a match where cohesion matters.
Home record in last six league matches: 2 wins, 4 losses.
- They conceded 2+ goals in five of those six home games.
- The only home win in that run was a 3-0 victory over Brøndby in April.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.60fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 62.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities and recent H2H meetings have been relatively high-scoring, but the edge is negative after accounting for odds.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.53fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 65.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive weaknesses, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.29fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to see early goals, and H2H history shows a strong pattern of first-half scoring, but the odds are heavily skewed.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Viborg's greater stability and recent H2H edge, combined with SonderjyskE's attacking disruption and coaching transition, make an away win the most likely single outcome.
- SonderjyskE lost their only league match this season 2-3 at home to FC Midtjylland, conceding 3 goals.
- Viborg FF have won 1 and lost 1 in the league, with a 1-0 home win and a 0-1 away loss.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Viborg won 2, SonderjyskE won 1, and 2 draws; Viborg won the most recent meeting at SonderjyskE 2-0 in April 2026.
- SonderjyskE have a new head coach and assistant who joined only 6 days before the match, and sold key attacker Olti Hyseni.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonViborg FFEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
SonderjyskE's poor home record and squad upheaval make a home win unlikely, while Viborg's solidity and H2H record support a double chance on the away side.
- SonderjyskE have lost 4 of their last 6 home league matches (including last season).
- Viborg have avoided defeat in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- SonderjyskE's home form in the last 15 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in league play.
- Viborg's away form in the last 15 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in league play.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Viborg FFEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a strong tendency to be level at the break, and H2H history reinforces a drawn first half as the most likely outcome.
- SonderjyskE were drawing at halftime in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Viborg were drawing at halftime in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were draws at halftime.
- SonderjyskE led at halftime in only 13% of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
SonderjyskE's second-half struggles and Viborg's ability to edge ahead late in games suggest a narrow second-half win for the visitors.
- SonderjyskE lost the second half in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Viborg won the second half in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Viborg won the second half twice, with 2 draws.
- SonderjyskE's second-half goal difference in last 15 matches: -0.4 per game.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonViborg FFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Viborg win is a plausible sequence given SonderjyskE's tendency to fade and Viborg's second-half strength.
- SonderjyskE drew at halftime in 3 of last 5 league matches, losing 2 of those overall.
- Viborg drew at halftime in 3 of last 5 league matches, winning 1 of those overall.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 2 matches followed a draw/Viborg pattern.
- SonderjyskE's second-half performance has been weaker, conceding more goals.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / Viborg FFEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and recent matches between them have been relatively high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- SonderjyskE's last 5 league matches averaged 3.2 total goals.
- Viborg's last 5 league matches averaged 2.8 total goals.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- SonderjyskE conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive weaknesses, making it likely that each side finds the net.
- SonderjyskE scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Viborg scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in 3 matches.
- SonderjyskE have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to see early goals, and H2H history shows a strong pattern of first-half scoring, making over 0.5 first-half goals probable.
- SonderjyskE's last 5 league matches: first-half goals in 4 of 5 (total 5 goals).
- Viborg's last 5 league matches: first-half goals in 4 of 5 (total 6 goals).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 matches had at least one first-half goal.
- SonderjyskE average 0.6 first-half goals scored, 0.9 conceded in last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been productive for both teams recently, and SonderjyskE's defensive record suggests continued vulnerability after the break.
- SonderjyskE's last 5 league matches: second-half goals in all 5 (total 9 goals).
- Viborg's last 5 league matches: second-half goals in 4 of 5 (total 7 goals).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- SonderjyskE concede 1.9 goals per game on average, often in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and recent H2H matches have consistently exceeded 8.5 corners, making over 8.5 a reasonable expectation.
- SonderjyskE average 3.9 corners per game, Viborg average 4.2 in last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, total corners were: 8, 8, 14, 8, 10 (average 9.6).
- SonderjyskE's home matches average 8.8 total corners in last 5 league games.
- Viborg's away matches average 9.2 total corners in last 5 league games.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; the price already reflects the directional read and offers no value.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W0-1ViborgvSonderjyskeMay 8, 2026SUP

W0-2SonderjyskevViborgApr 12, 2026SUP

D2-2SonderjyskevViborgNov 28, 2025SUP

L1-0ViborgvSonderjyskeAug 8, 2025SUP

D2-2SonderjyskevViborgApr 27, 2025SUP

SonderjyskE: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Superliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	SonderjyskE Relegation Playoffs	1	0	0	1	2-3	0	L
5	Viborg FF Play-offs	2	1	0	1	1-1	3	LW

3pt gap between teamsSonderjyskE in relegation zone

Recent Form

SonderjyskE

L2-3FC MidtjyllandJul 26SUP

W1-0Kolding IFJul 17FRI

L1-2Holstein KielJul 10FRI

D1-1VikingJul 3FRI

W4-2Randers FCJun 26FRI

L1-4FC NordsjaellandMay 17SUP

W1-0ViborgMay 8SUP

L1-2AarhusMay 3SUP

W3-0BrondbyApr 26SUP

L1-2FC MidtjyllandApr 23SUP

L0-6BrondbyApr 17SUP

L0-2ViborgApr 12SUP

D2-2FC MidtjyllandApr 4SUP

L0-2FC NordsjaellandMar 22SUP

D1-1AarhusMar 15SUP

Viborg FF

L0-1BrondbyAug 2SUP

W1-0OdenseJul 24SUP

W1-0Aarhus FremadJul 17FRI

L1-2FC CopenhagenJul 16FRI

W2-0Notts CountyJul 11FRI

L1-3AalborgJul 3FRI

D1-1AarhusJun 27FRI

L2-6AarhusMay 17SUP

L0-1SonderjyskeMay 8SUP

D3-3FC MidtjyllandMay 4SUP

W1-0FC NordsjaellandApr 26SUP

L0-1BrondbyApr 22SUP

L1-2FC NordsjaellandApr 19SUP

W2-0SonderjyskeApr 12SUP

L1-2AarhusApr 6SUP

Squad & Injuries

SonderjyskE

31 available

Attackers8

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Viborg FF

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Viborg FF

Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result5 of 5 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Viborg FF

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

SonderjyskE

Viborg FF

Squad & Injuries

SonderjyskE

Viborg FF