Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz: result, stats and head-to-head

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Fenerbahce's strong home form and superior attacking output give them an edge, but Sturm Graz's resilience and the first-leg caution limit confidence.
- Fenerbahce won 8 of last 10 competitive home matches (Süper Lig + UCL qualifiers).
- Sturm Graz lost only 1 of last 15 matches but drew 5 of last 8 competitive away games.
- Fenerbahce averaged 2.4 goals scored per match over last 15; Sturm Graz conceded 1.1 per match.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFenerbahceEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fenerbahce's low loss rate and Sturm Graz's modest away win record make a home win or draw highly probable.
- Fenerbahce lost only 2 of last 15 matches overall.
- Sturm Graz won only 1 of last 5 competitive away matches (Bundesliga + UCL qualifiers).
- H2H: Fenerbahce unbeaten in 2 meetings (1W, 1D).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFenerbahce or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fenerbahce's home advantage may give them a slight edge, but Sturm Graz's strong first-half resilience makes a draw the most likely halftime outcome.
- Fenerbahce led at halftime in 7 of last 15 matches; Sturm Graz trailed at halftime in only 2 of last 15.
- Fenerbahce's first-half goal difference: +0.2 per match; Sturm Graz: +0.4 per match.
- Sturm Graz drew at halftime in 8 of last 15 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonFenerbahceEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half could open up in the second, with Fenerbahce's home strength potentially breaking the deadlock.
- Fenerbahce won after a drawn first half in 3 of last 15 matches.
- Sturm Graz lost after a drawn first half in 1 of last 15 matches.
- Fenerbahce's second-half goal difference: +0.8 per match; Sturm Graz: +0.7 per match.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / FenerbahceEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently produce high-scoring games, and the attacking quality on display supports Over 2.5 goals.
- Fenerbahce's last 15 matches averaged 3.5 total goals; 11 of 15 saw Over 2.5.
- Sturm Graz's last 15 matches averaged 3.6 total goals; 10 of 15 saw Over 2.5.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Fenerbahce's last 15 and 8 of Sturm Graz's last 15.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have strong attacking records and defensive vulnerabilities, making it likely each will find the net.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Fenerbahce's last 15 matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Sturm Graz's last 15 matches.
- H2H: Both teams scored in both previous meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams frequently score or concede in the first half, making Over 0.5 first-half goals highly probable.
- Fenerbahce scored in the first half in 10 of last 15 matches; Sturm Graz in 9 of last 15.
- Fenerbahce conceded a first-half goal in 8 of last 15; Sturm Graz in 7 of last 15.
- Combined, at least one first-half goal occurred in 13 of Fenerbahce's last 15 and 12 of Sturm Graz's last 15.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as teams push for an advantage, with both sides showing consistent second-half scoring.
- Fenerbahce's second halves averaged 1.8 goals over last 15 matches.
- Sturm Graz's second halves averaged 1.9 goals over last 15 matches.
- Both teams scored in the second half in 8 of Fenerbahce's last 15 and 7 of Sturm Graz's last 15.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate high corner counts, and the attacking intent should push the total over 9.5.
- Fenerbahce's matches averaged 10.3 corners over last 15 (7.7 for, 2.6 against).
- Sturm Graz's matches averaged 10.1 corners over last 15 (5.5 for, 4.6 against).
- Fenerbahce's home matches averaged 11.2 corners; Sturm Graz's away matches averaged 10.8 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive nature of a Champions League qualifier and both teams' disciplinary records suggest a card count above 4.5.
- Fenerbahce averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match over last 15; opponents averaged 2.7.
- Sturm Graz averaged 2.1 yellow cards per match over last 15; opponents averaged 1.9.
- Combined average total cards: 5.7 per match across both teams' recent games.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Fenerbahce2Sturm Graz0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 9.5

Over 4.5

Fenerbahce or Draw

Over 0.5

Over 2.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Fenerbahce

Yes

Over 1.5

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Fenerbahce

Sturm Graz

Squad & Injuries

Fenerbahce

Sturm Graz