Over 2.5
Market 50% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams' recent goal averages (3.1 and 2.8 total goals per match) and 3 of last 5 H2H meetings going over 2.5 support a high-scoring game.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Cartaginés' strong H2H record and Pérez Zeledón's same-day coaching chaos point to an away win or draw, but the best value is Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 (60% model probability vs. 50% implied).
Avoid backing Cartaginés outright at short odds and steer clear of the overpriced Over 0.5 First Half Goals market.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 50% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams' recent goal averages (3.1 and 2.8 total goals per match) and 3 of last 5 H2H meetings going over 2.5 support a high-scoring game.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Perez Zeledon's leaky defense (2.1 goals conceded/game) and Cartagines' consistent scoring (11 of last 15 matches) make both teams scoring likely.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 77%
Cartagines are unbeaten in the last 5 H2H meetings (4W, 1D) and Perez Zeledon have lost 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0 |
| 4 | CS CartaginesSemifinal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-1 | 3 |

