Orebro SK11 – 3IFK Varnamo3

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Despite Orebro's poor recent form, the extreme H2H dominance and Varnamo's terrible away record give Orebro a slight edge, but low confidence due to Orebro's attacking struggles.

• H2H last 5: Orebro won all 5, including two in 2026.
• Orebro home record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses in 8 home matches.
• Varnamo away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 7 losses in 8 away matches.
• Orebro last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss; Varnamo last 5: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOrebro SKEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Varnamo's abysmal away form makes an away win unlikely; Orebro's home resilience (only 3 losses) and H2H superiority support a double chance for the home side.

• Orebro home: lost only 3 of 8 home matches (37.5% loss rate).
• Varnamo away: lost 7 of 8 away matches (87.5% loss rate).
• H2H last 5: Orebro won all 5, no draws.
• Orebro last 5 home: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostOrebro SK or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Given Varnamo's inability to lead at half time and Orebro's balanced first-half record, a draw at the break is the most likely outcome.

• Orebro first half record: 27% leading, 27% trailing, 46% drawing at half time.
• Varnamo first half record: 0% leading, 53% trailing, 47% drawing at half time.
• H2H last 2: both were draws at half time.
• Orebro last 5: 3 draws at half time.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Pattern of H2H suggests a tight first half with Orebro pulling away late; low confidence due to Orebro's current attacking woes.

• Orebro home: 2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; often tight first halves.
• Varnamo away: 1 win, 0 draws, 7 losses; frequently trailing at half time.
• H2H last 2: both were 0-0 at half time, Orebro won both.
• Orebro last 5: 3 draws at half time, 1 win at full time.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Orebro SKEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

H2H psychology strongly favors a shutout pattern, with Varnamo blanked in five straight; combined with both teams' low scoring rates, BTTS No is the most probable outcome.

• H2H last 5: Varnamo failed to score in all 5 meetings, aggregate 0-12.
• Orebro home record: 6 goals in 8 home matches, averaging 0.75 goals per home game.
• Varnamo away record: 7 goals in 8 away matches, averaging 0.88 goals per away game.
• Orebro last 5: 3 clean sheets, including a 0-0 vs Oddevold where they played 70 min vs 10 men.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have consistently low-scoring matches, especially at home for Orebro and away for Varnamo, reinforced by a H2H history of under 2.5 goals in every recent meeting.

• Orebro home matches: 6 of 8 had under 2.5 goals (75%).
• Varnamo away matches: 6 of 8 had under 2.5 goals (75%).
• H2H last 5: all 5 matches had under 2.5 goals.
• Orebro last 5: 4 of 5 had under 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams are slow starters, especially Varnamo who have scored only 0.1 first-half goals on average; H2H recent meetings also saw goalless first halves.

• Orebro first half goals: average 0.6 per game, 27% leading at half time.
• Varnamo first half goals: average 0.1 per game, 0% leading at half time.
• H2H last 2: both matches were 0-0 at half time.
• Orebro last 5: 3 of 5 had 0-0 at half time.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

H2H psychology heavily favors Orebro shutting out Varnamo, who have struggled to score away; Orebro's recent defensive solidity at home adds support.

• H2H last 5: Orebro kept clean sheets in all 5 vs Varnamo.
• Orebro home: 3 clean sheets in 8 home matches (37.5%).
• Varnamo away: failed to score in 4 of 8 away matches (50%).
• Varnamo last 5: failed to score in 3 of 5.

BetBugs · Team to ScorelostIFK Varnamo not to scoreEstimated chance55%