Draw or FK Liepaja
Market 74% · BetBugs 75%
FK Liepaja are unbeaten in the last 7 H2H meetings (4W 3D) and Tukums have lost 5 straight matches, making a Tukums win improbable.
VirsligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
FK Liepaja are unbeaten in seven H2H meetings and face a Tukums side on a five-match losing streak.
The double chance (Draw or FK Liepaja) at 1.36 is the top value play, with a 75% estimated probability. Expect goals, with over 2.5 and both teams to score both likely.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 74% · BetBugs 75%
FK Liepaja are unbeaten in the last 7 H2H meetings (4W 3D) and Tukums have lost 5 straight matches, making a Tukums win improbable.
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 65%
Tukums scored in 13 of last 15 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings, including the most recent at Tukums (2-2).
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
FK LiepajaBetBugs 45% · Market 50%
FK Liepaja's strong H2H dominance and Tukums' poor current form give the visitors a clear edge, though Liepaja's inconsistent away form tempers confidence.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 34% leaves no cushion vs our 30% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 38-48 | 17 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 30-34 | 31 |

