Draw
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 45%
Sol de America have drawn 9 of 16 league matches this season, including 6 of 8 at home, while Independiente CG have drawn 4 of 8 away.
Division IntermediaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Sol de America's extreme draw rate (9/16, 6/8 at home) makes the draw at 3.30 a high-value bet with a +15 point edge.
For a safer option, 'Sol de America or Draw' at 1.95 offers a massive +24 point edge given their unbeaten home record. Expect a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals also presenting value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 45%
Sol de America have drawn 9 of 16 league matches this season, including 6 of 8 at home, while Independiente CG have drawn 4 of 8 away.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 75%
Sol de America are unbeaten at home this season (W2 D6 L0) and have lost only 2 of 16 overall, both away.
Market 50% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have low half-time lead rates (27% each) and a tendency for level first halves, reinforced by recent H2H patterns.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 70% leaves no cushion vs our 75% double-chance estimate; the draw protection is already priced in.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sol de America | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 19-14 | 24 |
| 9 | Independiente CG | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24-23 | 21 |

