CS Emelec vs SD Aucas: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high draw rates in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H shows a balanced pattern with two draws in the last three meetings, making a stalemate the most probable single outcome.
- Emelec home record: 5W-4D-2L (11 matches), 45% draws
- Aucas away record: 4W-4D-3L (11 matches), 36% draws
- Last 5 H2H: 2 Aucas wins, 2 draws, 1 Emelec win; 2 of last 3 meetings ended in draws
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Emelec's strong home form (only 2 losses) combined with Aucas' coaching turmoil and mediocre away record makes the home side avoiding defeat likely.
- Emelec home record: 5W-4D-2L, only 2 losses in 11 home games
- Aucas away record: 4W-4D-3L, 7 of 11 away games without a win
- Aucas coach quit over missing reinforcements, potential squad instability
BetBugs · Double ChancelostCS Emelec or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low rates of leading at half-time, and recent H2H shows a pattern of first-half stalemates, making a draw at the break the most likely outcome.
- Emelec first half record: led at HT in 20% of last 15 matches, trailed in 27%
- Aucas first half record: led at HT in 27% of last 15 matches, trailed in 20%
- Last 5 H2H: 3 draws at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have balanced second-half performances with minimal goal differences, and recent H2H shows a pattern of second-half draws, though the evidence is not strong.
- Emelec second half goal difference: +0.1 (0.5 scored, 0.4 conceded) in last 15
- Aucas second half goal difference: 0.0 (0.5 scored, 0.5 conceded) in last 15
- Last 5 H2H: 3 draws in second half
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology heavily favors Aucas' defensive solidity against Emelec, with four clean sheets in five meetings, and Emelec's home scoring rate is modest.
- Emelec failed to score in last 3 H2H meetings vs Aucas
- Aucas kept 4 clean sheets in last 5 H2H meetings
- Emelec home goals: 12 in 11 (1.09 per game); Aucas away goals conceded: 11 in 11 (1.00 per game)
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low scoring averages, and H2H history shows a strong trend toward low-scoring affairs, with 4 of the last 5 meetings staying under 2.5 goals.
- Last 5 H2H: 4 matches had under 2.5 goals
- Emelec home goals per game: 1.09; Aucas away goals per game: 0.91
- Emelec last 15 matches: 0.9 goals scored per game; Aucas last 15: 1.1 goals scored per game
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Aucas' historical defensive success against Emelec, with four clean sheets in five meetings, suggests a reasonable chance of shutting out the hosts again, though Emelec's overall home scoring ability tempers confidence.
- Aucas kept 4 clean sheets in last 5 H2H vs Emelec
- Emelec failed to score in 3 of last 5 H2H
- Emelec home goals: 12 in 11, but only 2 in last 3 home matches vs Aucas
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCS Emelec not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average less than a goal in the first half, and H2H history shows a tendency for goalless first halves, supporting a low-scoring opening period.
- Emelec first half goals per game: 0.4; Aucas first half goals per game: 0.6
- Emelec first half goals conceded: 0.5; Aucas first half goals conceded: 0.5
- Last 5 H2H: 3 matches had 0 goals at half-time
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 5 corners per game, and H2H meetings have typically stayed under 10 total corners, indicating a low corner count is likely.
- Emelec average corners per game: 5.1; Aucas average corners per game: 5.0
- Emelec home corners: 5.1; Aucas away corners: 5.0
- Last 5 H2H: average total corners 8.4 (when data available)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, averaging under 2 cards each per game, and H2H matches have seen relatively few cards, suggesting a low total.
- Emelec average yellow cards per game: 2.0; Aucas average yellow cards per game: 1.9
- Emelec home yellow cards: 2.0; Aucas away yellow cards: 1.9
- Last 5 H2H: average total cards 3.8 (when data available)
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	CS Emelec Relegation Playoffs	22	7	7	8	19-26	25	LDLWD
4	SD Aucas Play-offs	22	10	5	7	24-25	35	LLWLW

CS Emelec0SD Aucas2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 9.5

CS Emelec or Draw

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

CS Emelec or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CS Emelec

SD Aucas

Squad & Injuries

CS Emelec

SD Aucas