Ansan Greeners or Draw
Market 60% · BetBugs 75%
Gimhae have only 2 wins in 17 league matches, and Ansan's rest advantage (7 days vs 4) makes a home win or draw highly probable.
K League 2Full time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Ansan Greeners' seven-day rest versus Gimhae's four-day turnaround after a midweek cup tie is the key factor, with hot conditions amplifying the hosts' advantage.
The best value lies in the Double Chance 'Ansan Greeners or Draw' at 1.67, where our 75% estimate dwarfs the 60% implied probability, while Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score also offer moderate edges given both sides' leaky defenses.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 60% · BetBugs 75%
Gimhae have only 2 wins in 17 league matches, and Ansan's rest advantage (7 days vs 4) makes a home win or draw highly probable.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams concede heavily (Ansan 1.9, Gimhae 1.7 goals/game) and recent matches average over 3.0 total goals, with the only H2H producing 5 goals.
Market 56.2% · BetBugs 60%
Both sides have scored in 80% of recent matches and the only H2H saw both teams score, with leaky defenses on both ends.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 34% vs our 45% estimate gives a +11pt edge, but the home side's poor home record (2-1-8) and the market's clear favouring of Gimhae suggest the odds may reflect genuine uncertainty.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 18-34 | 17 |
| 17 | GimhaeRelegation | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14-34 | 10 |

