IBV Vestmannaeyjar11 – 2Fram Reykjavik2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Fram's superior league position, strong away form, and recent H2H dominance (5-1 win) give them the edge, though IBV's home advantage and motivation to reach top six add uncertainty.

• Fram are 3rd with 34 points, IBV 8th with 16 points; Fram have 10 wins in 16 matches vs IBV's 4 wins.
• Fram's away record: 5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 8 matches; IBV's home record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses.
• Last 3 league H2Hs all won by home team, but Fram won the most recent meeting 5-1 at home in April 2026.
• Fram's recent form (last 5): D-W-W-D-W; IBV's: L-D-L-W-D.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFram ReykjavikEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Fram's superior first-half performance and IBV's vulnerability early in games give Fram a clear edge to lead at the break, though the probability is tempered by IBV's home advantage.

• Fram led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches; IBV led at half-time in only 20%.
• Fram's first half goal difference: +0.4 per match; IBV's: -0.2 per match.
• In the last H2H (April 2026), Fram led 2-0 at half-time.
• Fram scored first-half goals in 12 of their last 15 matches; IBV conceded first-half goals in 11 of 15.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonFram ReykjavikEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half-time followed by a Fram win is a plausible scenario given Fram's ability to pull away in the second half and IBV's tendency to fade, though the sample size is small.

• Fram have won 4 of their last 15 matches after being level at half-time; IBV have lost 3 of 15 when level at half-time.
• In the last 5 H2Hs, 2 matches were draws at half-time, with Fram winning one of those full-time.
• IBV's home matches: 3 of 8 were draws at half-time, with IBV losing 2 of those full-time.
• Fram's away matches: 2 of 8 were draws at half-time, with Fram winning 1 and drawing 1 full-time.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Fram ReykjavikEstimated chance25%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently produce high-scoring matches, with over 2.5 goals occurring in the vast majority of their recent games and H2Hs, making this a strong statistical trend.

• IBV's last 15 matches: average total goals 3.9 (1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded); 12 of 15 had over 2.5 goals.
• Fram's last 15 matches: average total goals 4.2 (2.5 scored, 1.7 conceded); 13 of 15 had over 2.5 goals.
• Last 5 H2Hs: total goals were 6, 2, 4, 4, 4; 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
• Both teams have scored in 11 of IBV's last 15 and 12 of Fram's last 15 matches.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have strong scoring records and leaky defenses, with both teams scoring in the majority of their recent matches and H2Hs, indicating a high probability of goals at both ends.

• IBV have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches; Fram have scored in 14 of their last 15.
• IBV have conceded in 14 of their last 15; Fram have conceded in 12 of their last 15.
• Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
• IBV's home matches: both teams scored in 6 of 8; Fram's away matches: both teams scored in 7 of 8.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Fram's strong first-half scoring and IBV's tendency to concede early suggest a high chance of multiple first-half goals, supported by recent match data.

• IBV's first half goals average: 0.7 scored, 0.9 conceded; total 1.6 per match; 9 of last 15 had over 1.5 first half goals.
• Fram's first half goals average: 1.3 scored, 0.9 conceded; total 2.2 per match; 11 of last 15 had over 1.5 first half goals.
• Last 5 H2Hs: first half goals were 0, 0, 2, 2, 2; 3 of 5 had over 1.5.
• Fram led at half-time in 7 of their last 15 matches; IBV trailed at half-time in 6 of 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams show a pattern of increased goal activity after half-time, with the majority of their matches and H2Hs featuring over 1.5 second-half goals.

• IBV's second half goals average: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded; total 2.3 per match; 11 of last 15 had over 1.5 second half goals.
• Fram's second half goals average: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded; total 2.0 per match; 10 of last 15 had over 1.5 second half goals.
• Last 5 H2Hs: second half goals were 4, 2, 2, 2, 2; 4 of 5 had over 1.5.
• Both teams tend to score and concede more in the second half relative to the first.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

In the absence of direct corner data, the attacking nature of both teams and league averages suggest a moderately high corner count, but confidence is low due to missing evidence.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided match logs.
• Úrvalsdeild matches average around 10.5 corners per game based on league-wide trends.
• Both teams' playing styles (attacking, high-scoring) typically generate above-average corner counts.
• No specific corner stats available for this fixture.