Rosenborg44 – 0Fredrikstad0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Rosenborg's strong home form and new manager bounce, combined with Fredrikstad's poor away record and recent midfield disruption, give the hosts a clear edge, though the short rest after a high-profile friendly adds some uncertainty.

• Rosenborg home record: 3W-2D-2L, 12 goals scored, 9 conceded in 7 home matches this season.
• Fredrikstad away record: 1W-1D-5L, 6 goals scored, 15 conceded in 7 away matches.
• H2H last 4 league meetings: Rosenborg unbeaten (2W-2D), including 2-0 and 1-0 wins in 2025.
• Rosenborg under new manager Freyr Alexandersson: 2 wins in last 2 league matches, scoring 6 and conceding 0.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRosenborgEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fredrikstad's dreadful away form and Rosenborg's solid home record make a home defeat unlikely; the double chance covers the draw possibility given Rosenborg's occasional inconsistency.

• Rosenborg have lost only 2 of 7 home matches this season.
• Fredrikstad have won only 1 of 7 away matches, losing 5.
• H2H at Rosenborg: last 2 meetings ended 1-0 and 1-1, no Fredrikstad win since 2024 cup.
• Fredrikstad's away goals conceded average: 2.14 per game.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonRosenborg or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Fredrikstad's habit of falling behind early on the road, combined with Rosenborg's recent strong starts under the new manager, suggests a home halftime lead is plausible, though not highly confident.

• Rosenborg led at halftime in 27% of last 15 matches, but in 2 of last 3 home wins they led at half.
• Fredrikstad trailed at halftime in 47% of last 15 matches, and in 5 of 7 away matches.
• H2H: Rosenborg led at half in both 2025 wins.
• Fredrikstad's first-half away record: conceded first-half goals in 6 of 7 away matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonRosenborgEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

If Rosenborg start strongly, they could control the match throughout, but Fredrikstad's occasional resilience and Rosenborg's fatigue risk make a full 90-minute dominance less certain.

• Rosenborg have won both halves in 2 of their last 3 home wins.
• Fredrikstad have lost both halves in 3 of their 5 away defeats.
• H2H: Rosenborg led at half and full time in both 2025 wins.
• Rosenborg's new manager emphasizes high pressing, which could lead to sustained dominance.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableRosenborg/RosenborgEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches this season trend toward goals, especially Fredrikstad's leaky away defense, and recent H2H encounters have often been high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.

• Rosenborg home matches average 3.0 total goals (12 scored, 9 conceded in 7 games).
• Fredrikstad away matches average 3.0 total goals (6 scored, 15 conceded in 7 games).
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
• Rosenborg's last 5 home matches: 3 had over 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to concede early, and Rosenborg's home matches often see first-half action, so at least one goal before the break is probable.

• Rosenborg average 0.7 first-half goals scored, 0.7 conceded in last 15 matches.
• Fredrikstad average 0.5 first-half goals scored, 0.8 conceded in last 15 matches.
• In Rosenborg's last 5 home matches, 4 had a first-half goal.
• H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings had a first-half goal.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate and concede a moderate number of corners, and their matches tend to hover around the 10-corner mark, making over 9.5 a reasonable expectation.

• Rosenborg average 5.6 corners per match, conceding 5.5 opponent corners in last 15.
• Fredrikstad average 4.4 corners per match, conceding 5.9 opponent corners in last 15.
• Combined average corners in Rosenborg home matches: 10.4 (5.6 + 4.8 opponent).
• H2H last 5 meetings: average total corners 9.4, with 3 of 5 over 9.5.