Portland Timbers22 – 1Real Salt Lake1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Portland's strong home scoring and RSL's poor away form give the Timbers a slight edge, but RSL's overall quality and Portland's interim coach situation keep confidence low.

• Portland home record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 6 matches, with 14 goals scored.
• Real Salt Lake away record: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses in 6 matches, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded.
• Portland's last 5 matches: W-L-L-D-W, including a 5-1 away win and a 6-0 home win.
• Real Salt Lake's last 5 matches: D-W-W-L-D, with only 1 away win all season.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPortland TimbersEstimated chance38%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Portland are tough to beat at home, and RSL struggle on the road, making a home win or draw the most likely double chance outcome.

• Portland have lost only 2 of 6 home matches this season.
• Real Salt Lake have won only 1 of 6 away matches.
• Portland's home form includes wins over LAFC and Sporting KC, and a draw with LA Galaxy.
• RSL's away losses include FC Dallas, LA Galaxy, and Vancouver.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonPortland Timbers or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A tight first half followed by a Portland surge is a low-probability but possible scenario given RSL's occasional second-half fade on the road.

• Portland have drawn at halftime and won full-time in 2 of last 15 matches.
• Real Salt Lake have drawn at halftime and lost full-time in 1 of last 15 matches.
• Portland's home matches: 1 draw at halftime leading to a win (vs LAFC).
• RSL's away matches: 1 draw at halftime leading to a loss (vs FC Dallas).

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Portland TimbersEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high-scoring trends, especially Portland at home, and recent H2H meetings often produce goals, making over 2.5 likely.

• Portland's last 15 matches average 3.7 total goals (1.8 scored, 1.9 conceded), with 11 of 15 seeing over 2.5 goals.
• Real Salt Lake's last 15 matches average 3.3 total goals (2.0 scored, 1.3 conceded), with 9 of 15 over 2.5.
• Head-to-head: 3 of last 5 meetings had over 2.5 goals, including a 3-3 draw and a 3-1 Portland win.
• Portland home matches average 4.2 total goals (14 scored, 11 conceded in 6 games).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides consistently find the net and have defensive vulnerabilities, with strong historical evidence of both scoring in this fixture.

• Portland have scored in 13 of last 15 matches, and conceded in 13 of 15.
• Real Salt Lake have scored in 13 of last 15 matches, and conceded in 10 of 15.
• Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
• Portland home matches: both teams scored in 5 of 6 this season.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start quickly, with Portland especially involved in high-scoring first halves recently, suggesting over 1.5 first-half goals is probable.

• Portland average 1.0 first-half goals scored and 1.1 conceded in last 15 matches.
• Real Salt Lake average 1.1 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded in last 15 matches.
• Portland's last 5 matches: first-half goals totals: 1, 4, 2, 3, 4 (all over 1.5 except one).
• RSL's last 5 matches: first-half goals totals: 1, 2, 0, 2, 2 (3 of 5 over 1.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score and concede in the second half, with a combined average near 1.7, suggesting over 1.5 second-half goals is likely.

• Portland's last 15 matches: second-half goals average 1.6 (0.8 scored, 0.8 conceded).
• Real Salt Lake's last 15 matches: second-half goals average 1.7 (0.9 scored, 0.8 conceded).
• Portland's last 5 matches: second-half goals totals: 4, 0, 0, 1, 2 (3 of 5 over 1.5).
• RSL's last 5 matches: second-half goals totals: 3, 0, 3, 1, 1 (2 of 5 over 1.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches consistently produce around 10 corners, with Portland's home games slightly higher, supporting over 9.5 corners.

• Portland average 4.5 corners per match, concede 6.5 opponent corners (total 11.0) in last 15.
• Real Salt Lake average 4.2 corners per match, concede 5.1 opponent corners (total 9.3) in last 15.
• Portland home matches average 10.3 total corners (4.3 for, 6.0 against).
• RSL away matches average 9.8 total corners (4.0 for, 5.8 against).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches average around 4 cards, with RSL's away games slightly higher, making over 3.5 cards a reasonable expectation.

• Portland average 1.6 yellow cards per match, opponents average 2.1 (total 3.7) in last 15.
• Real Salt Lake average 2.1 yellow cards per match, opponents average 1.9 (total 4.0) in last 15.
• Portland home matches average 3.8 total cards (1.5 for, 2.3 against).
• RSL away matches average 4.2 total cards (2.2 for, 2.0 against).