1. SNLFull time

Predictions graded

Koper2Radomlje2

HT 0–2Sun 26 Jul 2026, 18:15 Predictions graded

Predictions7–278%

Edges4–180%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Jul 2026, 18:35 · Europe/Bucharest

Koper's European schedule makes heavy rotation likely, eroding value on their short 1.45 win odds.

The best betting edge is 'No' on a Radomlje clean sheet at 1.40, with an 85% estimated probability versus the market's 71.4%. Avoid backing Koper outright or Over 2.5 goals, as both are overpriced given the context.

Context

Koper won 2-0 away at NSI Runavik on 23 July in the Conference League.
- The return leg is scheduled for 30 July, just four days after this match.
- Koper's official site confirms the fixture congestion.
Koper's 18 June squad update listed six arrivals and nine departures.
- Further signings were announced on 19 and 22 June.
- Such turnover often disrupts early-season rhythm.
Radomlje announced the signing of Aleksa Paić from Tekstilac on 16 June.
- Radomlje conceded in 14 of their last 15 competitive matches.
- A new defensive signing could help, but integration takes time.
Radomlje's last five competitive away results: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses.
- They conceded 10 goals in those five matches.
- Koper have won 8 of their last 15 home matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Koper

1.45fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Koper's superior H2H record and strong recent league form give them a clear edge, though rotation risk from European commitments lowers confidence.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Koper or Draw

1.17fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 85%

0.0ppshort

Radomlje's poor away form and Koper's home strength make a home win or draw highly likely, even with potential squad rotation.

Total Goals HomewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 1.5

1.38fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 72.5%

−7.5ppshort

Koper have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 league matches and Radomlje have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 competitive matches.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.20fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' first-half stats and H2H trends point to at least one goal before the break, but odds are very short.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Koper's superior H2H record and strong recent league form give them a clear edge, though rotation risk from European commitments lowers confidence.
- Koper won 5 of last 8 league H2Hs, unbeaten in last 3 (2W 1D).
- Koper's last 5 league matches: 5 wins, 11 goals scored, 3 conceded.
- Radomlje lost 4 of last 5 competitive matches, conceding 10 goals.
- Koper's home form (last 15): 8 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses, 2.1 goals scored per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKoperEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's poor away form and Koper's home strength make a home win or draw highly likely, even with potential squad rotation.
- Koper unbeaten in last 3 H2Hs (2W 1D).
- Radomlje have not won away in last 5 competitive matches (0W 1D 4L).
- Koper's home record: only 2 losses in last 10 home games across all competitions.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonKoper or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Koper's tendency to start strong and Radomlje's early defensive lapses give the home side a slight edge at halftime, but rotation could disrupt rhythm.
- Koper led at halftime in 62% of last 15 matches.
- Radomlje trailed at halftime in 53% of last 15 matches.
- Koper scored first-half goals in 4 of last 5 league matches.
- Radomlje conceded first-half goals in 4 of last 5 competitive matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostKoperEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Koper's ability to control matches from the start is evident, but the low frequency of HT/FT doubles and rotation risk keep confidence low.
- Koper led at halftime and won in 4 of last 15 matches.
- Radomlje trailed at halftime and lost in 5 of last 15 matches.
- Koper won both halves in 2 of last 5 league matches.
- Radomlje lost both halves in 2 of last 5 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableKoper/KoperEstimated chance35%

Goals6 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches trend towards higher-scoring affairs, and H2H history supports goals, though Koper's possible rotation could reduce attacking fluency.
- Koper's last 15 matches averaged 3.1 total goals (2.1 scored, 1.0 conceded).
- Radomlje's last 15 matches averaged 2.8 total goals (0.9 scored, 1.9 conceded).
- 4 of last 5 H2Hs had over 2.5 goals.
- Koper scored 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje have shown they can score against stronger sides, and Koper's defensive record at home is not watertight, making both teams scoring a reasonable outcome.
- Radomlje scored in 4 of last 5 competitive matches.
- Koper conceded in 3 of last 5 league matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2Hs.
- Koper kept only 2 clean sheets in last 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Koper's consistent scoring form and Radomlje's leaky defense suggest the home side is likely to net at least twice, even with possible rotation.
- Koper scored 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 league matches.
- Koper averaged 2.1 goals per game over last 15 matches.
- Radomlje conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 competitive matches.
- Koper scored 3 goals in last away H2H vs Radomlje.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonKoper over 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's defensive fragility and Koper's attacking output make an away clean sheet extremely unlikely.
- Radomlje conceded in 14 of last 15 matches.
- Radomlje kept only 1 clean sheet in last 15 matches.
- Koper scored in 13 of last 15 matches.
- Koper scored 3 goals in last away H2H vs Radomlje.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonKoper to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half stats and H2H trends point to at least one goal before the break, making over 0.5 first-half goals a solid pick.
- Koper's first-half goals average: 0.8 per game over last 15.
- Radomlje's first-half goals conceded average: 0.9 per game over last 15.
- First-half goals in 4 of last 5 H2Hs.
- Koper scored first-half goals in 4 of last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring trends are mixed, but the potential for late goals if Koper push for a result gives this a coin-flip probability.
- Koper's second-half goals average: 1.3 per game (calculated from total minus first-half).
- Radomlje's second-half goals conceded average: 1.0 per game.
- 3 of last 5 H2Hs had 2+ second-half goals.
- Koper scored 2+ second-half goals in 2 of last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without recent corner stats, we rely on last season's averages which suggest a moderate total; set at 50% due to high uncertainty.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Koper averaged 5.2 corners per game last season (league average 9.8 total).
- Radomlje averaged 4.1 corners per game last season.
- H2H corner data not available.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W0-3RadomljevKoperApr 18, 20261.

D2-2KopervRadomljeFeb 15, 20261.

D1-1RadomljevKoperOct 25, 20251.

L1-2KopervRadomljeAug 9, 20251.

W3-1KopervRadomljeApr 5, 20251.

3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

1. SNL 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Koper Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	1	0	0	2-0	3	W
10	Radomlje Relegation - 2. SNL	1	0	0	1	0-2	0	L

3pt gap between teamsKoper leads the leagueRadomlje in relegation zone

Recent Form

Koper

W2-0NSI RunavikJul 23UEF

W2-0NaftaJul 171.

W3-1MTK BudapestJul 11FRI

L2-4Dinamo ZagrebJul 8FRI

L1-2LNZ CherkasyJul 5FRI

W1-0Corvinul HunedoaraJul 2FRI

W4-2Vllaznia ShkodërJun 27FRI

W2-0FC NoahJun 23FRI

L1-2ShkendijaJun 19FRI

W2-1CeljeMay 161.

W1-0AluminijMay 91.

W1-0MuraMay 31.

W3-2Olimpija LjubljanaApr 251.

W3-0RadomljeApr 181.

W3-1MariborApr 141.

Radomlje

L0-2Brinje-GrosupljeJul 181.

L0-1NK VarazdinJul 10FRI

L0-2HNK RijekaJul 3FRI

L0-3Dinamo ZagrebJun 26FRI

W3-2MuraMay 221.

L1-2Olimpija LjubljanaMay 171.

L1-2BravoMay 91.

W2-1MariborMay 31.

W3-2PrimorjeApr 261.

L0-1Brinje-GrosupljeApr 22CUP

L0-3KoperApr 181.

L1-3CeljeApr 111.

W2-1AluminijApr 31.

L0-2MuraMar 211.

L1-2Olimpija LjubljanaMar 141.

Squad & Injuries

Koper

31 available

Attackers5

Midfielders16

Defenders9

Goalkeeper1

Radomlje

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Koper to score

Koper

Koper or Draw

Over 1.5

Over 0.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals6 of 6 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Koper

Koper

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Koper

Radomlje

Squad & Injuries

Koper

Radomlje