FK Auda11 – 0BFC Daugavpils0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

FK Auda's stronger home form and higher league position (3rd vs 4th) give them a slight edge, but Daugavpils' recent form and favorable H2H record keep this close.

• FK Auda home record: 5W-1D-4L, 20 goals scored, 14 conceded in 10 home matches this season.
• BFC Daugavpils away record: 2W-4D-4L, 16 goals scored, 19 conceded in 10 away matches.
• FK Auda last 5 matches: 2W-2D-1L, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
• BFC Daugavpils last 5 matches: 3W-1D-1L, scoring 9 and conceding 4.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFK AudaEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

FK Auda's solid home record and Daugavpils' poor away win rate make a home win or draw highly likely.

• FK Auda have lost only 4 of 10 home matches this season.
• BFC Daugavpils have won only 2 of 10 away matches.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, FK Auda have lost only once at home (1-3 in July 2025).

BetBugs · Double ChancewonFK Auda or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Auda's slight edge in first-half performance and home advantage give them a low-probability chance to lead at the break, but the data is not strongly supportive.

• FK Auda led at half-time in 27% of their last 15 matches.
• BFC Daugavpils trailed at half-time in 27% of their last 15 matches.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Auda led at half-time only once.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonFK AudaEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Auda's stronger second-half performance at home compared to Daugavpils' away struggles suggests a marginal advantage, but confidence is low due to limited data.

• FK Auda have a positive second-half goal difference at home (+6 in 10 matches).
• BFC Daugavpils have a negative second-half goal difference away (-3 in 10 matches).
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Auda won the second half in 2 matches.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableFK AudaEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While possible given Auda's tendency to improve in the second half, the specific HT/FT combination of draw/win has low historical frequency.

• FK Auda have drawn at half-time and won the match in 2 of their last 15 matches.
• BFC Daugavpils have drawn at half-time and lost the match in 1 of their last 15 matches.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, this exact HT/FT combination occurred once.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/FK AudaEstimated chance20%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Despite Daugavpils' low first-half averages, Auda's tendency for early goals and the H2H pattern suggest a high likelihood of at least one first-half goal.

• FK Auda average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded in their last 15 matches.
• BFC Daugavpils average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded in their last 15 matches.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, there was a first-half goal in 4 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

In the absence of concrete corner data, a neutral estimate of over 9.5 corners is given with low confidence, reflecting typical league averages.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided form and season stats.
• General Virsliga matches average around 10 corners per game based on league trends.
• No specific corner data for this fixture is available.