Kalmar FF22 – 1Mjallby1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Kalmar's strong home form and Mjallby's tendency to draw away, combined with potential Mjallby rotation, make Kalmar or Draw a solid outcome.

• Kalmar are unbeaten in 6 of 7 home league matches (4W-2D-1L).
• Mjallby have drawn 4 of 7 away matches this season.
• Kalmar's only home loss was to Vasteras (0-1), while they beat Malmo, Orgryte, Degerfors, Halmstad, and Elfsborg at home.
• Mjallby's last 5 away league matches: D-D-D-W-L, with 3 draws.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonKalmar FF or DrawEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Mjallby's tendency to draw at half-time away and then win occasionally, combined with Kalmar's vulnerability after a drawn first half, supports this low-probability outcome.

• Mjallby have drawn at half-time in 4 of 7 away matches.
• Mjallby have won 2 of 7 away matches, both after drawing at half-time.
• Kalmar have drawn at half-time in 2 of 7 home matches, losing one of those.
• H2H pattern: Mjallby often win after leading or drawing at half-time.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / MjallbyEstimated chance20%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, especially Mjallby away, and the H2H history includes several high-scoring games, supporting over 2.5 goals.

• Kalmar's home matches average 2.57 total goals (12 scored, 6 conceded in 7 games).
• Mjallby's away matches average 3.57 total goals (13 scored, 12 conceded in 7 games).
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 2-0, 4-0, 0-0, 3-0, 3-2 — 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
• Kalmar's last 5 home matches: 2-2, 3-0, 2-0, 2-1, 2-1 — 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently score and concede in their respective home/away splits, making BTTS likely.

• Kalmar have scored in 6 of 7 home matches this season.
• Mjallby have scored in 6 of 7 away matches this season.
• Mjallby have conceded in 6 of 7 away matches.
• Kalmar have conceded in 4 of 7 home matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score early, with Kalmar particularly strong in the first half at home, suggesting at least one first-half goal.

• Kalmar average 0.9 first-half goals at home, with 40% leading at half-time.
• Mjallby average 0.8 first-half goals away, with 33% leading at half-time.
• In Kalmar's last 5 home matches, first-half goals occurred in all 5 (2, 1, 2, 1, 1).
• In Mjallby's last 5 away matches, first-half goals occurred in 4 of 5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Mjallby's away matches tend to have high second-half scoring, but Kalmar's home second halves are more moderate, leading to a borderline over 1.5 call.

• Kalmar's home matches average 1.14 second-half goals (total 8 in 7 matches).
• Mjallby's away matches average 2.14 second-half goals (total 15 in 7 matches).
• In Kalmar's last 5 home matches, second-half goals: 1, 2, 0, 1, 1 — 3 of 5 had over 1.5.
• In Mjallby's last 5 away matches, second-half goals: 0, 2, 3, 1, 2 — 3 of 5 had over 1.5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Recent card counts for both teams have been elevated, pushing the total above the season average, though low confidence due to variability.

• Kalmar average 1.0 yellow cards per match, Mjallby 1.8.
• Kalmar's home matches average 1.0 yellow cards, Mjallby's away matches average 1.8.
• Combined average ~2.8 cards, but recent matches show higher totals (e.g., Kalmar's last 5: 0,0,1,2,3; Mjallby's last 5: 3,4,1,3,3).
• No red cards in recent matches for either team, but Mjallby average 0.5 red cards per match overall.