Indy Eleven
Market 60% · BetBugs 65%
Indy's perfect home league record (6-1-0) and Loudoun's poor away form (1-2-3) create a clear mismatch, with the market not fully pricing the home dominance.
USL ChampionshipFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Indy Eleven's fortress-like home form and Loudoun United's road struggles make a home win the most likely outcome, with the Half-Time/Full-Time Draw/Indy Eleven at 4.33 offering standout value.
Expect a cautious first half before Indy's attack breaks through, but avoid low-value markets like 1st Half Both Teams to Score.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Indy ElevenMarket 60% · BetBugs 65%
Indy's perfect home league record (6-1-0) and Loudoun's poor away form (1-2-3) create a clear mismatch, with the market not fully pricing the home dominance.
Market 83% · BetBugs 85%
Indy's fortress-like home form and Loudoun's struggles on the road make avoiding defeat highly probable, and the market offers a slight discount on this safety.
Market 23% · BetBugs 35%
Indy's pattern of slow starts (47% HT draws) followed by strong second halves at home, combined with Loudoun's tendency to concede late away, makes this combo undervalued.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Indy ElevenPromotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18-16 | 21 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18-29 | 12 |

