AllsvenskanFull time

Predictions graded

Degerfors0Djurgarden1

HT 0–1Sat 25 Jul 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–633%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 58%–42%ShotsShots 12–17On targetOn target 0–7CornersCorners 6–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Jul 2026, 23:54 · Europe/Bucharest

The standout betting edge is Degerfors or Draw (Double Chance) at 2.05, leveraging Djurgården’s winless run in their last four league visits to Stora Valla.

For a secondary play, Over 9.5 corners at 1.85 offers value given Djurgården’s league-high corner numbers. Avoid backing Djurgården outright at short odds, as the venue-specific H2H significantly reduces their win probability.

Context

Djurgården's last four league visits to Degerfors: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses.
- Degerfors have taken 10 of the last 12 available home H2H points against Djurgården.
- The most recent league meeting at this venue ended 1-1 in 2025.
Skuseth is a 22-year-old, 197 cm centre-back on loan from Sarpsborg.
- The club announced the signing on 15 July and said the aim was eligibility for the 19 July match.
- He joined training immediately, indicating readiness for selection.
Joel Asoro, Max Larsson, Matias Siltanen and Miro Tenho were on four yellow cards before the Örgryte match.
- In the 0-0 draw at Örgryte, the booked players were Hampus Finndell, Jacob Une and Adam Ståhl.
- None of the four at-risk players received a yellow card, so they avoid suspension.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.65fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 60.6%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent form shows a trend towards higher-scoring games, with Djurgården's attacking output and Degerfors' defensive frailties pointing to Over 2.5 goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The venue-specific H2H psychology strongly favors Degerfors avoiding defeat at home, as Djurgården have historically struggled at Stora Valla.
- Djurgården are winless in their last 4 Allsvenskan visits to Degerfors (0W 1D 3L).
- Degerfors have taken 10 of the last 12 available home H2H points against Djurgården.
- Degerfors home record this season: 1W 2D 4L, but they have drawn 2 of their last 3 home league matches.
- Djurgården away record: 3W 1D 1L, but their only away loss was to 7th-placed GAIS.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDegerfors or DrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The structural home/away edge and H2H psychology combine to make Degerfors or Draw a value outcome, given Djurgården's poor record at this venue.
- Djurgården have not won a league away game at Degerfors since their return to the top flight.
- Degerfors have lost only 1 of their last 4 home H2H meetings (W2 D1 L1).
- Degerfors' last 3 home league matches: D D L, showing resilience against stronger sides.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDegerfors or DrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Djurgården's tendency to start strongly contrasts with Degerfors' slow starts, but the low confidence reflects the venue's historical impact on Djurgården's performance.
- Djurgården have led at half-time in 40% of their matches this season.
- Degerfors have trailed at half-time in 53% of their matches.
- Djurgården have scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches.
- Degerfors have conceded first in 7 of their last 10 league matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDjurgardenEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Djurgården's second-half strength and Degerfors' second-half defensive issues suggest a possible turnaround, but the venue H2H makes this a low-probability speculative pick.
- Djurgården have won 3 of their 5 away matches this season, but only 1 after leading at half-time.
- Degerfors have drawn at half-time in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- Djurgården have scored 60% of their away goals in the second half.
- Degerfors have conceded 69% of their home goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DjurgardenEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent form shows a trend towards higher-scoring games, with Djurgården's attacking output and Degerfors' defensive frailties pointing to Over 2.5 goals.
- Djurgården's last 10 league matches have averaged 3.3 total goals.
- Degerfors' last 5 home league matches have seen Over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5.
- Djurgården have scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 12 league matches.
- Degerfors have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 home league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Degerfors consistently find the net at home despite poor results, while Djurgården's attack is reliable; the H2H history also supports both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Degerfors' last 5 home league matches.
- Djurgården have scored in 11 of their last 12 league matches.
- Degerfors have scored in 4 of their last 5 home league matches.
- The last H2H at this venue ended 1-1.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgården's strong first-half scoring record and Degerfors' tendency to concede early make a first-half goal highly likely.
- Djurgården have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 12 league matches.
- Degerfors have conceded a first-half goal in 8 of their last 10 league matches.
- Djurgården average 1.3 first-half goals per game this season.
- Degerfors have trailed at half-time in 53% of their matches this season.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Matches involving these teams tend to open up after the break, with both sides contributing to second-half goal production.
- Djurgården's last 5 away league matches have averaged 2.0 second-half goals.
- Degerfors' last 5 home league matches have averaged 2.2 second-half goals.
- Both teams have scored in the second half in 4 of Degerfors' last 5 home matches.
- Djurgården have scored in the second half in 8 of their last 10 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgården's corner dominance and Degerfors' home corner numbers suggest a high total corner count, with the tactical matchup likely producing sustained pressure.
- Djurgården average 7.5 corners per game this season, the highest in the league.
- Degerfors' home matches average 9.3 total corners this season.
- Djurgården's away matches average 10.6 total corners.
- The last H2H at this venue saw 9 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The relegation-pressure context for Degerfors and the competitive nature of this fixture could lead to a slightly higher card count, though evidence is not overwhelming.
- Degerfors average 2.2 yellow cards per game at home this season.
- Djurgården average 1.6 yellow cards per game away this season.
- The last H2H at this venue saw 3 yellow cards.
- Degerfors have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 4W

L2-1Djurgardens IFvDegerfors IFMar 21, 2026FRI

D1-1Degerfors IFvDjurgardens IFOct 4, 2025ALL

L5-1Djurgardens IFvDegerfors IFJul 6, 2025ALL

L3-0Djurgardens IFvDegerfors IFMar 10, 2024SVE

L4-1Djurgardens IFvDegerfors IFAug 27, 2023ALL

Djurgarden unbeaten in 5 meetings3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Degerfors Allsvenskan (Relegation)	13	2	4	7	12-23	10	LLLDL
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	26-15	20	DWWLL

10pt gap between teamsDegerfors in relegation zone

Recent Form

Degerfors

L0-4Hammarby FFJul 19ALL

L0-2Vasteras SK FKJul 12ALL

L0-1Malmo FFJul 4ALL

W3-2LillestromJun 26FRI

D2-2IF BrommapojkarnaMay 31ALL

L1-2Kalmar FFMay 23ALL

D1-1GaisMay 16ALL

L1-4Mjallby AIFMay 9ALL

D1-1BK HackenMay 2ALL

D1-1Orgryte ISApr 27ALL

W2-1AIK StockholmApr 23ALL

L0-1IF ElfsborgApr 17ALL

W3-0HalmstadApr 12ALL

L0-3SiriusApr 4ALL

W3-1IFK NorrkopingMar 27FRI

Djurgarden

D0-0Orgryte ISJul 20ALL

W3-0HalmstadJul 13ALL

W4-2BK HackenJul 6ALL

D1-1SiriusJun 26FRI

L1-2IF BrommapojkarnaMay 22ALL

L2-3SiriusMay 18ALL

W4-2AIK StockholmMay 10ALL

W6-0IFK GoteborgMay 4ALL

D1-1Hammarby FFApr 26ALL

L1-2IF ElfsborgApr 22ALL

L0-1Malmo FFApr 17ALL

W3-2Kalmar FFApr 12ALL

W1-0GaisApr 6ALL

W4-2HJK HelsinkiMar 27FRI

W2-1Degerfors IFMar 21FRI

Squad & Injuries

Degerfors

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders6

Defenders11

Goalkeeper2

Djurgarden

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Degerfors or Draw

Over 9.5

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Degerfors

Degerfors

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Degerfors

Djurgarden

Squad & Injuries

Degerfors

Djurgarden