Over 3.5
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 75%
Vikingur average 3.4 goals at home and Keflavik concede 2.4 away; H2H history shows 4+ goals in 4 of last 5 meetings.
ÚrvalsdeildFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Víkingur Reykjavík are heavy favorites at home against Keflavík, with the league leaders boasting a perfect home record and a history of high-scoring H2H wins.
The best value lies in goals markets: over 3.5 total goals (+13.3% edge) and Víkingur over 2.5 team goals (+11.3% edge), driven by Víkingur’s prolific attack and Keflavík’s leaky away defense. Avoid the short-priced match winner and half-time markets, as they offer no value despite the likely home win.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 75%
Vikingur average 3.4 goals at home and Keflavik concede 2.4 away; H2H history shows 4+ goals in 4 of last 5 meetings.
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 75%
Vikingur have scored 3+ in 6 of 7 home league matches and 4 of last 5 H2H; Keflavik concede heavily on the road.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Vikingur ReykjavikBetBugs 78% · Market 83%
Vikingur's perfect home record (W6 D1 L0) and Keflavik's leaky away defence (17 conceded in 7) make a home win highly probable, though the odds are already very short.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 49-11 | 40 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24-28 | 19 |

