Thun11 – 1Dinamo Zagreb1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Dinamo's strong unbeaten run in competitive matches and Thun's inconsistent home form make a Dinamo win or draw highly likely.

• Dinamo Zagreb lost only 1 of their last 15 matches (a friendly), with 12 wins and 2 draws.
• Thun lost 6 of their last 15, with only 5 wins.
• Thun's home record in last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses.
• Dinamo's away competitive matches in last 10: 5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Dinamo ZagrebEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Dinamo's pattern of breaking deadlocks in the second half, combined with Thun's tendency to start slowly, supports a draw at half-time and Dinamo win at full-time.

• Dinamo drew at half-time in 43% of their last 15 matches but won 80% of those games.
• Thun drew at half-time in 46% of their last 15, with mixed second-half results (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in those).
• Dinamo's last 5 away competitive matches: 3 were draws at HT, all ended in Dinamo wins.
• Thun's last 5 home matches: 1 draw at HT, which ended in a draw.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Dinamo ZagrebEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Thun's consistent scoring at home and Dinamo's occasional defensive lapses on the road suggest both teams will find the net.

• Thun scored in 13 of their last 15 matches, failing to score only against FC Sion and FC Lugano.
• Dinamo kept clean sheets in 8 of their last 15, but Thun scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
• Thun conceded in 13 of their last 15 matches.
• Dinamo conceded in 5 of their last 15, but 3 of those were away from home.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Thun's tendency for early goals at home and Dinamo's ability to score in the first half (50% leading at HT) make over 1.5 first-half goals a plausible outcome.

• Thun averaged 1.0 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded in last 15, with 54% of matches having over 1.5 first-half goals.
• Dinamo averaged 1.1 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded, with 47% of matches having over 1.5 first-half goals.
• Thun's last 5 home games: 3 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
• Dinamo's last 5 away competitive matches: 2 had over 1.5 first-half goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Thun's home matches tend to open up in the second half, and Dinamo's ability to score late (as seen in their HT/FT patterns) supports over 1.5 second-half goals.

• Thun's last 15 matches: 60% had over 1.5 second-half goals.
• Dinamo's last 15 matches: 53% had over 1.5 second-half goals.
• Thun's last 5 home games: 4 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
• Dinamo's last 5 away competitive matches: 3 had over 1.5 second-half goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a high number of corners, and Thun's home matches consistently exceed 9.5 total corners, making this a strong over candidate.

• Thun averaged 6.1 corners per game in their last 15, with opponents averaging 4.5.
• Dinamo averaged 6.0 corners per game, with opponents averaging 3.5.
• Thun's last 5 home matches: total corners averaged 11.2 (Thun 6.6, opponents 4.6).
• Dinamo's last 5 away competitive matches: total corners averaged 9.4 (Dinamo 5.2, opponents 4.2).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Thun's high foul and card rates, especially at home, combined with the high-stakes nature of the match, should push total cards over 4.5.

• Thun averaged 3.0 yellow cards per game in their last 15, with opponents averaging 2.5.
• Dinamo averaged 1.3 yellow cards per game, but Thun's matches often see high card counts (5.5 total cards avg).
• Thun's last 5 home matches: total cards averaged 5.6 (Thun 3.0, opponents 2.6).
• Dinamo's last 5 away competitive matches: total cards averaged 3.4, but Thun's aggressive style (16.7 fouls/game) may draw more cards.