AllsvenskanFull time

Predictions graded

Orgryte0Djurgarden0

HT 0–0Mon 20 Jul 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–633%

Edges2–529%

PossPossession 31%–69%ShotsShots 9–8On targetOn target 3–3CornersCorners 3–13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Jul 2026, 19:18 · Europe/Bucharest

Djurgården are clear favorites against an Örgryte side missing their head coach and a key attacker, with the visitors’ strong away form and historical dominance pointing to an away win.

The best value may lie in over 3.5 goals at 1.95, given both teams’ high-scoring trends, though the suspensions add a note of caution. Avoid the short-priced over 2.5 goals and home win markets, which offer no edge.

Context

ÖIS official squad news confirms Holmberg and Sana are suspended for this match.
- Sana is an experienced attacker whose absence reduces Örgryte's creativity and goal threat.
- Holmberg's touchline absence disrupts in-game tactical adjustments for a team that has lost 8 of 15 league matches.
Djurgården's official preview lists Marques as suspended and Hien plus Langhoff as unavailable.
- Marques was sent off in the previous match against Häcken, leaving a gap in the backline.
- Djurgården have kept only one clean sheet in four away league games this season.
Örgryte's last 5 Allsvenskan results: 1W-1D-3L, with 14 goals conceded.
- They have lost 8 of their last 11 league matches overall.
- At home, they have managed only one win in six attempts, conceding 12 goals.
Djurgården's official preview frames this as an important away game in the top-end race.
- Örgryte entered the round second-bottom after promotion, with survival at stake.
- Both teams have clear table incentives, reducing the chance of a low-intensity dead rubber.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Djurgarden

1.35fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 74%

0.0ppshort

Djurgarden's strong away form (3W-0D-1L) and Orgryte's home struggles (1W-3D-2L) plus key absences (coach Holmberg and attacker Sana) give the visitors a clear edge.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.38fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent matches and season-long averages point to high-scoring affairs, with Orgryte's leaky defense and Djurgarden's potent attack making over 2.5 goals likely.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.62fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Orgryte consistently score at home but also concede regularly, while Djurgarden's away matches show both scoring and conceding, suggesting both teams are likely to find the net.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's strong away form and Orgryte's defensive struggles, combined with Orgryte's key absences (coach Holmberg and attacker Sana suspended), give the visitors a clear edge.
- Djurgarden away record: 3W-0D-1L, 10 goals for, 6 against in 4 away matches this season.
- Orgryte home record: 1W-3D-2L, 11 goals for, 12 against in 6 home matches.
- Orgryte last 5 Allsvenskan matches: 1W-1D-3L, conceded 14 goals.
- Djurgarden last 5 Allsvenskan matches: 3W-0D-2L, scored 13 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDjurgardenEstimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Orgryte's poor home record and historical H2H struggles, plus the disruptive absences, make a home win unlikely; Djurgarden are well-placed to avoid defeat.
- Orgryte have won only 1 of 6 home matches this season.
- Djurgarden have lost only 1 of 4 away matches this season.
- H2H: Orgryte winless in last 11 meetings with Djurgarden (all competitions).
- Orgryte missing head coach Holmberg and key attacker Sana due to suspension.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or DjurgardenEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's superior first-half performance and Orgryte's habit of falling behind early make the visitors favorites to lead at the break.
- Djurgarden have led at halftime in 6 of 15 matches (40%); Orgryte have trailed in 10 of 15 (67%).
- Orgryte average 0.4 first-half goals scored vs 1.0 conceded.
- Djurgarden average 1.3 first-half goals scored vs 0.7 conceded.
- In Djurgarden's last 5 Allsvenskan matches, they led at halftime in 3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDjurgardenEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Djurgarden are favorites, the HT/FT double is less certain due to Orgryte's occasional resilience at home; however, the visitors' ability to control matches from the start gives this a reasonable chance.
- Djurgarden have led at halftime and won the match in 4 of 15 matches this season.
- Orgryte have trailed at halftime and lost the match in 8 of 15 matches this season.
- Djurgarden away: led at halftime in 2 of 4 away matches, won both.
- Orgryte home: trailed at halftime in 3 of 6 home matches, lost 2 of those.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDjurgarden/DjurgardenEstimated chance38%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches and season-long averages point to high-scoring affairs, with Orgryte's leaky defense and Djurgarden's potent attack making over 2.5 goals likely.
- Orgryte home matches average 3.83 total goals (11 scored, 12 conceded in 6 games).
- Djurgarden away matches average 4.0 total goals (10 scored, 6 conceded in 4 games).
- Orgryte last 5 Allsvenskan matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Djurgarden last 5 Allsvenskan matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Orgryte consistently score at home but also concede regularly, while Djurgarden's away matches show both scoring and conceding, suggesting both teams are likely to find the net.
- Orgryte have scored in 5 of 6 home matches this season.
- Djurgarden have conceded in 3 of 4 away matches this season.
- Orgryte have conceded in all 6 home matches this season.
- Djurgarden have scored in all 4 away matches this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's strong first-half scoring record and Orgryte's tendency to concede early, combined with recent match trends, support over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Djurgarden average 1.3 first-half goals per match this season.
- Orgryte concede an average of 1.0 first-half goals per match this season.
- Djurgarden have led at halftime in 40% of matches; Orgryte have trailed at halftime in 67%.
- In Djurgarden's last 5 Allsvenskan matches, 4 had at least 2 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches tend to open up in the second half, with Orgryte's defensive frailties and Djurgarden's attacking depth likely leading to multiple goals after the break.
- Orgryte home matches average 2.17 second-half goals (based on total goals minus first-half averages).
- Djurgarden away matches average 2.5 second-half goals.
- Orgryte last 5 matches: 4 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Djurgarden last 5 matches: 3 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's high corner count, driven by their attacking style, combined with Orgryte's tendency to concede corners, should push the total over 9.5.
- Djurgarden average 7.0 corners per match this season.
- Orgryte average 4.3 corners per match, but concede many corners (opponents average ~5.5 against them).
- Djurgarden's away matches average 9.75 total corners (based on available data).
- Orgryte's home matches average 8.5 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive stakes and physical nature of the matchup, with both teams averaging moderate card counts, suggest a slightly above-average card total.
- Orgryte average 1.7 yellow cards per match; Djurgarden average 1.5.
- Orgryte home matches average 2.0 yellow cards; Djurgarden away matches average 1.75.
- Referee Granit Maqedonci's card average is unavailable, but Allsvenskan matches typically see around 3.5 cards.
- Match has relegation vs European chase stakes, which could increase intensity.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 8 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Orgryte Relegation - Superettan	12	2	3	7	14-31	9	WLDLL
5	Djurgarden	11	6	1	4	26-15	19	WWLLW

10pt gap between teamsOrgryte in relegation zone

Recent Form

Orgryte

W4-3BK HackenJul 11ALL

L0-3Kalmar FFJul 5ALL

L1-4TromsoJun 25FRI

D2-2IF ElfsborgMay 29ALL

L0-2HalmstadMay 23ALL

L2-3IFK GoteborgMay 19ALL

L0-2SiriusMay 11ALL

L0-4GaisMay 3ALL

D1-1Degerfors IFApr 27ALL

L1-2IF BrommapojkarnaApr 22ALL

L1-8Hammarby FFApr 18ALL

W2-0Mjallby AIFApr 11ALL

D1-1Malmo FFApr 5ALL

W1-0LillestromMar 27FRI

W1-0Landvetter ISMar 10FRI

Djurgarden

W3-0HalmstadJul 13ALL

W4-2BK HackenJul 6ALL

D1-1SiriusJun 26FRI

L1-2IF BrommapojkarnaMay 22ALL

L2-3SiriusMay 18ALL

W4-2AIK StockholmMay 10ALL

W6-0IFK GoteborgMay 4ALL

D1-1Hammarby FFApr 26ALL

L1-2IF ElfsborgApr 22ALL

L0-1Malmo FFApr 17ALL

W3-2Kalmar FFApr 12ALL

W1-0GaisApr 6ALL

W4-2HJK HelsinkiMar 27FRI

W2-1Degerfors IFMar 21FRI

L0-1Hammarby FFMar 15SVE

Squad & Injuries

Orgryte

8 out

Attackers4/6

×#10

×#22

×#10

×#22

Midfielders2/7

×#31

Defenders2/12

×#3

Goalkeeper3

#31 A. Abukar — Inactive

#10 R. Alm — Knee Injury

#3 J. Azulay — Inactive

#22 T. Sana — Yellow Cards

#31 A. Abukar — Inactive

#10 R. Alm — Knee Injury

#3 J. Azulay — Inactive

#22 T. Sana — Yellow Cards

Djurgarden

2 out

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders2/7

×#21

Goalkeeper2

#21 M. Marques — Red Card

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 3.5

Over 1.5

Djurgarden

Draw or Djurgarden

Djurgarden

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 9.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Orgryte

Orgryte or Draw

Over 2.5

League Table

Recent Form

Orgryte

Djurgarden

Squad & Injuries

Orgryte

Djurgarden