Keflavik or Draw
Market 69% · BetBugs 72%
Keflavik are unbeaten in the last 4 H2H meetings (3W-1D) and have lost only twice at home this season, while IA Akranes have lost 4 of their last 5 overall.
ÚrvalsdeildFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Keflavik's strong H2H record and IA Akranes' defensive woes make a home win or draw likely, but the best betting value lies in Over 3.5 goals at 1.95, given IA Akranes' leaky away defense and recent high-scoring meetings.
Avoid the Over 2.5 goals and Over 0.5 first-half goals markets due to poor value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 69% · BetBugs 72%
Keflavik are unbeaten in the last 4 H2H meetings (3W-1D) and have lost only twice at home this season, while IA Akranes have lost 4 of their last 5 overall.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 60%
IA Akranes' away matches average 3.88 total goals, and the last two H2H meetings both ended 3-1, suggesting a high-scoring pattern that supports Over 3.5 at near-even odds.
Other edges · 1
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 74.1%
Both teams have consistent scoring records in their respective home/away splits, and the H2H history shows frequent BTTS outcomes, making it likely both will score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Keflavik | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19-26 | 16 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19-28 | 15 |

