Draw
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 40%
Chungbuk's extreme draw tendency (11/16) combined with a tight recent H2H pattern and their inability to win at home makes a draw the most likely outcome, despite Cheonan's slightly better away form.
K League 2Full time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Chungbuk Cheongju's 11 draws in 16 games and a tight recent H2H make the draw at 3.30 the standout value (40% model probability vs. 30% implied).
Under 2.5 goals at 1.88 is also appealing given four of the last six meetings stayed under. Avoid backing either side to win and the BTTS market, where odds understate the likelihood of a low-scoring stalemate.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 40%
Chungbuk's extreme draw tendency (11/16) combined with a tight recent H2H pattern and their inability to win at home makes a draw the most likely outcome, despite Cheonan's slightly better away form.
Market 45.5% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a high frequency of halftime draws, and the H2H shows a balanced first-half record, supporting a draw at the break.
Market 53.2% · BetBugs 60%
H2H trend of 4/6 under 2.5 and both teams' moderate scoring rates (1.3 goals/game each) support a low-scoring match, despite some recent high-scoring outliers.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 16 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 19-27 | 14 |
| 10 | Cheonan City | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19-19 | 19 |

