Draw
Market 29% · BetBugs 40%
Four consecutive H2H draws, combined with both teams' high draw rates in recent matches, suggest the market underestimates the likelihood of a stalemate.
Division IntermediaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Four consecutive H2H draws make the draw the standout bet at 3.40, with an 11-point edge over the market.
Both teams to score also offers slight value, but avoid overpriced first-half goals and Draw No Bet markets.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 29% · BetBugs 40%
Four consecutive H2H draws, combined with both teams' high draw rates in recent matches, suggest the market underestimates the likelihood of a stalemate.
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings, and each side has found the net in over 66% of their recent matches, supporting a BTTS pattern.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 69%
Sportivo Carapegua's home resilience and Guairena's inconsistent away form, along with the draw-heavy H2H, support a double chance for the home side.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 3 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sportivo Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16-26 | 16 |
| 8 | Guairena | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16-17 | 21 |

