Lillestrom22 – 1KFUM Oslo1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Lillestrom's strong home form and KFUM's poor away record, combined with high motivation for European qualification, give the hosts a clear edge.

• Lillestrom home record: 3W-0D-2L, 11 goals scored, 6 conceded in 5 matches
• KFUM away record: 0W-2D-3L, 6 goals scored, 13 conceded in 5 matches
• Lillestrom won last 2 competitive H2H at home: 2-0 (NM Cupen 2025) and 2-1 (Eliteserien 2024)
• Lillestrom 4th (22 pts) chasing Europe vs KFUM 14th (12 pts) fighting relegation

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLillestromEstimated chance65%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

KFUM's inability to win on the road and poor recent form make a Lillestrom win or draw highly likely.

• KFUM have not won away this season (0W-2D-3L)
• Lillestrom have lost only 2 of 5 home matches
• KFUM have lost 5 of last 6 competitive matches overall

BetBugs · Double ChancewonLillestrom or DrawEstimated chance85%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

KFUM's poor first halves away from home make a Lillestrom half-time/full-time double a plausible outcome.

• Lillestrom led at half-time in 33% of matches and won 58% overall
• KFUM trailed at half-time in 53% and lost 50% overall
• KFUM have not won away, and trailed at half-time in 4 of 5 away games

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableLillestrom/LillestromEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches tend to be high-scoring, especially KFUM's away games, and recent H2H history supports goals.

• Lillestrom home matches average 3.4 total goals (11 scored, 6 conceded in 5 games)
• KFUM away matches average 3.8 total goals (6 scored, 13 conceded in 5 games)
• Last 3 H2H meetings produced 9, 2, and 5 goals respectively

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Lillestrom's attacking additions and KFUM's leaky away defense suggest both teams can find the net.

• Lillestrom have scored in 4 of 5 home matches, but kept only 1 clean sheet at home
• KFUM have scored in 3 of 5 away matches, but conceded in all 5
• Both teams scored in 2 of last 3 competitive H2H meetings

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The first-half goal averages point to a borderline over 1.5, but low confidence due to small sample size.

• Lillestrom home first-half goals: 0.7 avg, KFUM away first-half goals conceded: 1.2 avg
• KFUM away first-half goals: 0.6 avg, Lillestrom home first-half goals conceded: 0.5 avg
• Combined first-half goal averages suggest around 1.5 goals

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined card averages are close to the line, but recent H2H meetings have seen higher totals, suggesting a slight over lean.

• Lillestrom average 2.0 yellow cards per game, KFUM average 1.6
• Combined average cards in Lillestrom matches: 3.6, in KFUM matches: 3.4
• Recent H2H card counts: 1-3, 3-5, 2-2, 2-1, 2-3 (average 4.8)