Bahia vs Chapecoense: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bahia's strong home form and Chapecoense's dreadful away record, combined with a dominant H2H history, make a home win highly likely.
- Bahia home record: 3W-4D-2L, 14 goals for, 10 against in 9 home matches this season.
- Chapecoense away record: 0W-2D-6L, 4 goals for, 13 against in 8 away matches.
- H2H: Bahia won last two meetings 3-0 and 2-0, keeping three straight clean sheets vs Chapecoense.
- Chapecoense are bottom of the league with 9 points from 17 games, 17 points behind Bahia.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBahiaEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high draw rate at half-time, and H2H history shows goalless first halves, so a draw at the break is probable.
- Bahia home half-time results: led in 13%, trailed in 40%, drew in 47% of matches.
- Chapecoense away half-time results: led in 20%, trailed in 20%, drew in 60%.
- Last 3 H2H half-time scores: 0-0, 0-0, 0-0.
- Bahia average first-half goals: 0.5, Chapecoense: 0.7.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Chapecoense's historical struggles to score against Bahia and their poor away goal output suggest at least one side will fail to score.
- Chapecoense have failed to score in their last 3 H2H meetings against Bahia.
- Chapecoense away goals: only 4 in 8 away matches this season.
- Bahia home clean sheets: 3 in 9 home matches, conceding 1.1 goals per home game on average.
- Chapecoense squad churn and new coach debut may disrupt attacking cohesion.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given Chapecoense's scoring woes on the road and Bahia's recent H2H defensive dominance, a home clean sheet is probable.
- Bahia kept clean sheets in last 3 H2H vs Chapecoense.
- Chapecoense away goals: 4 in 8 matches, failing to score in 4 of those 8.
- Bahia home defensive record: 10 conceded in 9, but 3 clean sheets.
- Chapecoense are bottom of the league with only 17 goals in 17 matches overall.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonChapecoense not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low-scoring H2H history and Chapecoense's away goal drought point to a match with fewer than 3 goals.
- Bahia home matches average 2.67 total goals (14F, 10A in 9 games).
- Chapecoense away matches average 2.13 total goals (4F, 13A in 8 games).
- Last 3 H2H meetings: 3-0, 2-0, 0-0 – all under 2.5 goals.
- Chapecoense have scored only 4 away goals all season.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Bahia's consistent home scoring and Chapecoense's leaky away defense make it likely the hosts net at least twice.
- Bahia average 1.56 goals per home match this season.
- Bahia scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 9 home matches across all competitions.
- Chapecoense concede 1.63 goals per away match on average.
- H2H: Bahia scored 3 and 2 goals in last two home meetings vs Chapecoense.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonBahia over 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Chapecoense's away scoring record is abysmal, and they have a historical inability to score against Bahia.
- Chapecoense have scored only 4 goals in 8 away matches this season.
- Chapecoense failed to score in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- H2H: Chapecoense have not scored in last 3 meetings vs Bahia.
- Chapecoense are bottom of the league with 17 goals in 17 matches overall.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonChapecoense under 0.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combination of Bahia's H2H clean sheet streak and Chapecoense's away scoring struggles supports a home win to nil.
- Bahia won last two H2H home matches 3-0 and 2-0.
- Chapecoense have not scored in last 3 H2H meetings.
- Bahia home clean sheets: 3 in 9 matches.
- Chapecoense away goals: 4 in 8 matches.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonYesEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, and recent H2H first halves have been goalless, making a low-scoring first half likely.
- Bahia average 0.5 first-half goals at home, conceding 0.8.
- Chapecoense average 0.7 first-half goals away, conceding 0.8.
- Last 3 H2H first halves: 0-0, 0-0, 0-0 (all goalless at half-time).
- Bahia led at half-time in only 13% of matches, Chapecoense in 20%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bahia's home matches tend to have higher corner counts, and Chapecoense's defensive posture may lead to more corners for the hosts.
- Bahia average 6.6 corners per match overall, but 7.4 at home in recent Serie A matches.
- Chapecoense average 3.2 corners per match, but concede many corners (opponent corners data limited).
- In Bahia's last 5 home matches with corner data, total corners averaged 10.2.
- Chapecoense's away matches often see high opponent corner counts due to defensive pressure.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	17	7	5	5	25-23	26
20	Chapecoense Relegation - Serie B	17	1	6	10	17-33	9

Bahia2Chapecoense0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

No

Under 0.5

Under 1.5

Bahia

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 2 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Bahia or Draw

Bahia, draw no bet

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Bahia

Chapecoense

Squad & Injuries

Bahia

Chapecoense