Larne vs Tre Fiori: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Larne's superior recent form and home advantage, combined with a first-leg win, give them the edge, though squad turnover adds uncertainty.
- Larne won the first leg 1-0 away, showing they can beat Tre Fiori.
- Larne's last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, with 3 clean sheets.
- Tre Fiori's last 5 away matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, but only 1 clean sheet.
- Larne averaged 1.9 goals per match over last 15; Tre Fiori conceded 0.8 but against weaker domestic opponents.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLarneEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Larne's strong home form and Tre Fiori's modest away record make a home win or draw highly likely, especially with Larne protecting a lead.
- Larne have not lost at home in their last 5 home matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Tre Fiori have only 2 wins in their last 5 away matches, both against weaker domestic sides.
- First leg was a narrow 1-0, suggesting a tight contest.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLarne or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Larne's tendency to start strong at home, combined with Tre Fiori's occasional slow starts, gives Larne a decent chance to lead at the break.
- Larne led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- Tre Fiori trailed at half-time in 20% of their last 15 matches.
- Larne scored first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- First leg was 0-0 at half-time, but Larne dominated later.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostLarneEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A repeat of the first-leg pattern is possible, with a tight first half followed by Larne's quality prevailing, though probability is modest.
- First leg was 0-0 at half-time, Larne won 1-0.
- Larne have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches but won 4 of those 5.
- Tre Fiori drew at half-time in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/LarneEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The first leg was low-scoring, and both teams have shown defensive solidity recently, suggesting another tight, low-scoring affair.
- First leg ended 1-0 with few clear chances.
- Larne's last 5 matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals.
- Tre Fiori's last 5 away matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals.
- Larne averaged 1.9 goals for but only 0.8 against; Tre Fiori averaged 1.4 for and 0.8 against.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tre Fiori's struggles to score against Larne and Larne's solid defense make it likely at least one team fails to score.
- Tre Fiori failed to score in the first leg.
- Larne kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
- Tre Fiori scored in only 2 of their last 5 away matches.
- Larne conceded only 0.8 goals per match on average.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Larne's defensive form is strong, but Tre Fiori's need to score could lead to a more open game, reducing clean sheet probability.
- Larne kept a clean sheet in the first leg.
- Larne have 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
- Tre Fiori failed to score in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostTre Fiori not to scoreEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, and the first leg was goalless at the break, suggesting a low-scoring first half.
- First leg was 0-0 at half-time.
- Larne's last 5 matches: 3 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Tre Fiori's last 5 away matches: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Larne averaged 0.9 first-half goals; Tre Fiori averaged 0.8.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given the expected cautious approach and lack of attacking width, total corners are likely to be limited, though data is sparse.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Low-scoring, tight matches often produce fewer corners.
- First leg had no corner data, but the match report suggested few attacking flurries.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Larne2Tre Fiori1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw at half-time / Larne at full-time

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

Larne or Draw

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Larne

Over 2.5

Over 1.5

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Larne

Tre Fiori

Squad & Injuries

Larne

Tre Fiori