Bohemians22 – 0St Josephs FC0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' superior league standard and home advantage, combined with St Josephs' recent inconsistent form against weaker teams, make a home win highly likely.

• Bohemians won 7 of last 15 matches, with 3 wins in last 5 (60%)
• St Josephs FC lost 3 of last 15, but 2 losses in last 5 (40%)
• Bohemians averaged 1.9 goals scored vs 1.5 conceded; St Josephs 2.6 scored vs 0.7 conceded but against weaker Gibraltar league opposition
• Bohemians home advantage at Dalymount Park and higher league quality

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBohemiansEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' superior fitness and depth from a higher-level league may allow them to edge the second half, though St Josephs' resilience keeps confidence low.

• Bohemians won the second half in 7 of last 15 matches
• St Josephs won the second half in 6 of last 15 matches
• Bohemians scored second-half goals in 11 of last 15
• St Josephs conceded second-half goals in 5 of last 15

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableBohemiansEstimated chance50%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' ability to convert halftime leads into wins, combined with home advantage, supports a HT/FT double, though St Josephs' second-half resilience tempers probability.

• Bohemians led at halftime and won in 5 of last 15 matches
• St Josephs trailed at halftime and lost in only 1 of last 15
• Bohemians won 7 of last 15 overall, with 4 of those after leading at half

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableBohemians/BohemiansEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' strong home scoring form and St Josephs' occasional defensive lapses on the road make over 1.5 home goals a high-probability outcome.

• Bohemians scored 2+ goals in 6 of last 8 home matches
• Bohemians averaged 2.1 goals per home match in last 15
• St Josephs conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonBohemians over 1.5Estimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score early, with Bohemians rarely going into halftime scoreless, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.

• Bohemians scored in the first half in 10 of last 15 matches
• St Josephs scored in the first half in 9 of last 15 matches
• Bohemians' first-half goals average: 0.9; St Josephs': 1.1
• Only 3 of Bohemians' last 15 matches were 0-0 at halftime

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' high corner count in domestic matches, likely to continue against a weaker opponent, pushes the total corners projection above 8.5.

• Bohemians averaged 5.6 corners per match in last 15
• Bohemians' opponents averaged 4.5 corners per match
• Combined average corners in Bohemians' matches: 10.1
• St Josephs' corner data unavailable, but Bohemians' high corner rate suggests potential

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' domestic card averages and the heightened intensity of European competition suggest a total cards over 3.5 is plausible.

• Bohemians averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match in last 15
• Bohemians' opponents averaged 2.5 yellow cards per match
• Combined average cards in Bohemians' matches: 4.5
• St Josephs' card data unavailable, but European ties often see more cards