Vardar Skopje vs KuPS: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vardar's strong home form and high-scoring attack, combined with KuPS's severe schedule congestion (22-hour turnaround to cup semifinal), give the hosts a structural edge despite the coaching change.
- Vardar Skopje won 11 of last 15 matches, with 4 wins in last 5.
- Home form: 6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 8 home games.
- KuPS away form: 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in last 8 away games.
- Vardar averaged 2.3 goals scored vs 0.5 conceded in last 15.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVardar SkopjeEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vardar's low home loss rate and KuPS's tendency to draw away, plus the visitors' fatigue risk, make a home win or draw highly probable.
- Vardar lost only 2 of last 15 matches overall.
- KuPS drew 5 of last 15 matches, including 3 of last 5 away.
- Vardar home loss rate: 12.5% in last 8 home games.
- KuPS away win rate: 37.5% in last 8 away games.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostVardar Skopje or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vardar's dominant first-half record, especially at home, contrasts with KuPS's slower starts, giving the hosts a clear edge to lead at the break.
- Vardar led at halftime in 10 of last 15 matches (67%).
- Vardar averaged 1.3 first-half goals, conceding only 0.1.
- KuPS led at halftime in only 6 of last 15 matches (40%).
- KuPS trailed at halftime in 3 of last 15 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostVardar SkopjeEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vardar's tendency to lead at halftime and win is notable, but KuPS's resilience and the first-leg context reduce the likelihood of a wire-to-wire home victory.
- Vardar led at halftime and won full-time in 9 of last 15 matches.
- KuPS lost only 2 of last 15 matches when trailing at halftime.
- Vardar's home HT/FT win rate: 5 of last 8 home games.
- KuPS's away HT/FT loss rate: 1 of last 8 away games.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableVardar Skopje / Vardar SkopjeEstimated chance30%

Goals1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show consistent goal involvement, and Vardar's attacking output at home (2.3 goals per game) combined with KuPS's defensive lapses on the road supports over 2.5 goals.
- Vardar's last 15 matches averaged 2.8 total goals.
- KuPS's last 15 matches averaged 2.6 total goals.
- Vardar scored 2+ goals in 11 of last 15 matches.
- KuPS conceded in 9 of last 15 matches, with 3+ goals in 2 of last 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have reliable scoring records, and Vardar's defense isn't impenetrable, while KuPS's attack is boosted by late additions Parzyszek and Jyry, making both teams scoring likely.
- KuPS scored in 13 of last 15 matches.
- Vardar kept only 7 clean sheets in last 15 matches.
- KuPS conceded in 9 of last 15 matches.
- Vardar scored in 13 of last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Vardar's first-half scoring is strong, KuPS's lower first-half output and the potential for a cautious start in a first-leg tie temper expectations, but the hosts' aggression could push the total over 1.5.
- Vardar's first-half goals: 1.3 per match; KuPS's: 0.8 per match.
- Vardar's first-half goals conceded: 0.1; KuPS's: 0.5.
- Combined first-half goal average: 2.1 per match.
- Vardar had 2+ first-half goals in 6 of last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
KuPS's high corner count, especially in possession-dominant games, could drive the total over 9.5, though Vardar's unknown corner stats add uncertainty.
- KuPS averaged 5.7 corners per match in last 15.
- KuPS's opponents averaged 2.3 corners per match.
- Vardar's corner data is unavailable, but KuPS's high corner rate suggests involvement.
- KuPS had 10 corners in one recent away match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With high stakes and a potentially feisty atmosphere, cards could exceed 3.5, though the lack of Vardar's discipline data makes this speculative.
- KuPS averaged 1.2 yellow cards and 0.2 red cards per match.
- KuPS's opponents averaged 1.1 yellow cards and 0.1 red cards.
- Vardar's discipline data is unavailable, but European qualifiers often see increased cards.
- KuPS had 4 yellow cards and 1 red card in a recent away match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance45%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Vardar Skopje0KuPS2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Vardar Skopje or Draw

Vardar Skopje

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 2.5

Over 2.5

Recent Form

Vardar Skopje

KuPS

Squad & Injuries

Vardar Skopje

KuPS