Botola ProFull time

Predictions graded

IR Tanger2COD Meknes1

HT 2–0Sun 5 Jul 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–614%

Edges1–420%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 4 Jul 2026, 07:16 · Europe/Bucharest

A dead-rubber final-day clash between two mid-table sides with a strong H2H trend of clean-sheet wins and goalless first halves.

The best value lies in both teams to score – no (edge +10pts) and first-half under 0.5 goals (edge +22pts), while the full-time under 2.5 goals offers a smaller but solid edge. Avoid the over 0.5 first-half goals and IR Tanger team total over 1.5, where the market has overpriced the likelihood of goals.

Context

Dnibi was sacked on 25 May 2026 with COD Meknes in 8th place.
- Mohamed Aziz took over as caretaker the same day, per the 2025–26 Botola Pro page.
- This is the most recent management change around the fixture and could affect tactical approach.
COD Meknes 1-0 IR Tanger (March 2026), IR Tanger 2-0 COD Meknes (May 2025), COD Meknes 1-0 IR Tanger (December 2024).
- All three matches were 0-0 at half-time.
- Neither team has scored in the first half of any recent H2H.
IR Tanger are 9th and COD Meknes 8th, both on 36 points.
- The relegation play-off line is 30 points, and CAF spots are far above.
- Botola tie-breaks use head-to-head before goal difference, reducing the need to chase goals.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With no relegation or continental stakes, and IR Tanger's high home draw rate (57%) against COD Meknes' poor away win record, a draw is the most probable single outcome.
- IR Tanger home record: 4 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses (57% draws).
- COD Meknes away record: 1 win, 6 draws, 7 losses (43% draws).
- Both teams are on 36 points with nothing to play for except mid-table positioning.
- Last 5 matches: IR Tanger form LDLWW, COD Meknes form WDDLL.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IR Tanger's strong home resilience (only 2 losses) and COD Meknes' dreadful away form (1 win all season) make an away win unlikely, so the home side avoiding defeat is highly probable.
- IR Tanger home record: only 2 losses in 14 games (14% loss rate).
- COD Meknes away record: only 1 win in 14 games (7% win rate).
- H2H at IR Tanger: IR Tanger won 2-0 in the most recent home meeting.
- COD Meknes have lost 7 of 14 away games, but IR Tanger's home draws (8) suggest a low chance of away win.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonIR Tanger or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of low first-half scoring and high draw rates at half-time for both teams, reinforced by H2H history, points to a draw at the break.
- IR Tanger home first-half record: led at half-time in only 13% of matches, trailed in 33%, drawn 54%.
- COD Meknes away first-half record: led at half-time in 13% of matches, trailed in 40%, drawn 47%.
- Last 3 H2H first-half results: all draws (0-0).
- Both teams average 0.3 first-half goals scored, indicating low scoring early.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a draw at both half-time and full-time is plausible given the high draw rates and lack of stakes, the H2H history shows winners, so confidence is low.
- IR Tanger home half-time draws: 54%; full-time draws: 57%.
- COD Meknes away half-time draws: 47%; full-time draws: 43%.
- Last 3 H2H: all were draws at half-time, and 2 of 3 were draws at full-time? Actually, all 3 had a winner, but the pattern of low scoring suggests a possible stalemate.
- Both teams have nothing to play for, reducing intensity.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The H2H psychology strongly favors low-scoring, clean-sheet outcomes, and both teams' season-long goal averages support a low total, with neither side having high attacking output.
- Last 3 H2H meetings all ended with clean sheets and under 2.5 goals (1-0, 2-0, 1-0).
- IR Tanger home matches this season average 1.86 total goals (13 scored, 13 conceded in 14 games).
- COD Meknes away matches average 2.0 total goals (8 scored, 20 conceded in 14 games), but their overall season average is 1.86 goals per game.
- Both teams have scored in only 33% of IR Tanger's home games and 36% of COD Meknes' away games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern of clean sheets combined with both teams' low scoring rates, especially on the road for COD Meknes, makes it likely at least one side fails to score.
- Last 3 H2H meetings: all clean sheets (1-0, 2-0, 1-0).
- IR Tanger failed to score in 43% of home games (6 of 14).
- COD Meknes failed to score in 43% of away games (6 of 14).
- Both teams scored in only 33% of IR Tanger's home matches and 36% of COD Meknes' away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have very low first-half scoring rates, and the H2H history shows three consecutive 0-0 half-times, making a goalless first half the most likely scenario.
- IR Tanger average 0.3 first-half goals at home; COD Meknes average 0.3 first-half goals away.
- IR Tanger concede 0.5 first-half goals at home; COD Meknes concede 0.6 first-half goals away.
- In the last 3 H2H meetings, first-half goals: 0, 0, 0 (all 0-0 at half-time).
- IR Tanger's last 5 matches: first-half goals in only 2 of 5 (0, 0, 0, 0, 1).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams averaging around 1.1 total second-half goals combined, and the low-scoring nature of this fixture, the second half is likely to see fewer than 2 goals.
- IR Tanger home second-half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.5 conceded on average.
- COD Meknes away second-half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.8 conceded on average.
- Last 3 H2H second-half goals: 1, 2, 1 (all under 1.5 except one 2-0 game where both goals came in second half).
- Overall, both teams average under 1.0 goals per game in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Corner data is extremely limited, but the low-possession, defensive style of both teams suggests a low corner count, though confidence is low due to lack of robust evidence.
- IR Tanger average only 1.0 corners per game overall (based on limited data from one recent match).
- COD Meknes average 3.0 corners per game (based on one recent match).
- No consistent corner data available across the season; only one match each has corner stats.
- Low-scoring, low-possession games often produce fewer corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 0D · 3W

L1-0CODM MeknèsvIttihad TangerMar 6, 2026BOT

L2-0Ittihad TangervCODM MeknèsMay 8, 2025BOT

L1-0CODM MeknèsvIttihad TangerDec 14, 2024BOT

COD Meknes unbeaten in 3 meetingsCOD Meknes: 3 clean sheets1.3 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	IR Tanger	29	8	12	9	25-30	36	LDLWW
9	COD Meknes	29	9	9	11	23-31	36	WDDLL

Recent Form

IR Tanger

L0-1UTS RabatJul 2BOT

D1-1Raja CasablancaJun 28BOT

L0-2Olympique DcheïraJun 25BOT

W1-0CR Khemis ZemamraJun 21BOT

W2-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 17BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourJun 14BOT

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneJun 8BOT

W2-1Wydad ACJun 3BOT

W1-0Maghreb FèsMay 22BOT

D1-1Difaa EL JadidaMay 10BOT

D1-1FUS RabatMay 6BOT

D0-0FAR RabatMay 3BOT

W2-1Olympique SafiApr 29BOT

D1-1Hassania AgadirApr 25BOT

L0-1CODM MeknèsMar 6BOT

COD Meknes

W3-2FAR RabatJul 2BOT

D2-2Olympique SafiJun 28BOT

D0-0Hassania AgadirJun 25BOT

L1-2Raja CasablancaJun 21BOT

L0-2UTS RabatJun 17BOT

L1-2CR Khemis ZemamraJun 12BOT

D1-1Yacoub El MansourJun 9BOT

W2-1Olympique DcheïraJun 1BOT

L1-3Kawkab MarrakechMay 22BOT

W2-0Chabab Atl. KhenifraMay 17CUP

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneMay 10BOT

L0-2Wydad ACMay 6BOT

D0-0Maghreb FèsMay 2BOT

L0-1FUS RabatApr 29BOT

L0-1Difaa EL JadidaApr 25BOT

Squad & Injuries

IR Tanger

33 available

Attackers9

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

COD Meknes

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders14

Defenders4

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

Draw

Draw

IR Tanger or Draw

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

IR Tanger

COD Meknes

Squad & Injuries

IR Tanger

COD Meknes