Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Richmond's form is dire with an interim coach and no wins in 5, while Sarasota has won 3 of their last 5 and carries the motivational edge of Terzaghi facing his old club, outweighing Richmond's modest home advantage.
- Richmond Kickers: last 5 matches LLLLD, 0 wins, 2 goals scored, 12 conceded
- Sarasota Paradise: last 5 matches LWLWW, 3 wins, 8 goals scored, 8 conceded
- Richmond home record: 2W-1D-2L, 5 goals for, 6 against in 5 matches
- Sarasota away record: 1W-0D-6L, 5 goals for, 16 against in 7 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSarasota ParadiseEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Richmond's poor form and coaching instability make them unlikely to win, while Sarasota's away struggles suggest a draw is a real possibility, so backing Sarasota or draw covers the most likely outcomes.
- Richmond Kickers: last 5 matches LLLLD, 0 wins
- Sarasota Paradise: last 5 away matches 1W-0D-4L, but overall form is better
- Richmond home record: 2W-1D-2L, 40% win rate
- Sarasota away record: 1W-0D-6L, 14% win rate
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Sarasota ParadiseEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely lead at halftime, with Richmond drawing 3 of their last 5 first halves and Sarasota drawing 2, suggesting a cagey start and a draw at the break.
- Richmond Kickers: led at halftime in 20% of matches, trailed in 47%
- Sarasota Paradise: led at halftime in 13% of matches, trailed in 40%
- Richmond last 5 first-half results: D, L, D, L, D
- Sarasota last 5 first-half results: L, D, L, W, D
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime is common for both, and Sarasota's superior second-half performance and Richmond's tendency to fade could lead to a Sarasota win after a level first half.
- Richmond Kickers: drew at halftime in 33% of matches, lost full-time in 53%
- Sarasota Paradise: drew at halftime in 33% of matches, won full-time in 33%
- Richmond last 5: 3 draws at halftime, 4 losses full-time
- Sarasota last 5: 2 draws at halftime, 3 wins full-time
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Sarasota ParadiseEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with Richmond conceding heavily and Sarasota's matches averaging near 3 goals, making over 2.5 goals likely despite both teams' offensive struggles.
- Richmond Kickers: last 15 matches average 3.0 total goals (0.9 for, 2.1 against)
- Sarasota Paradise: last 15 matches average 2.8 total goals (1.0 for, 1.8 against)
- Richmond last 5 matches: 14 total goals (2.8 per match)
- Sarasota last 5 matches: 16 total goals (3.2 per match)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Richmond's leaky defense and Sarasota's consistent scoring away from home, combined with Richmond's ability to find the net at home, point to both teams scoring.
- Richmond Kickers: scored in 8 of last 15 matches, conceded in 13 of last 15
- Sarasota Paradise: scored in 9 of last 15 matches, conceded in 12 of last 15
- Richmond home: scored in 4 of 5 home matches, conceded in 4 of 5
- Sarasota away: scored in 4 of 7 away matches, conceded in all 7 away matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to concede early, with Richmond trailing at halftime in 47% of matches and Sarasota in 40%, making a first-half goal likely.
- Richmond Kickers: first-half goals in 8 of last 15 matches, conceded in 10 of last 15
- Sarasota Paradise: first-half goals in 6 of last 15 matches, conceded in 9 of last 15
- Richmond last 5: first-half goals in 2 matches, conceded in 3 matches
- Sarasota last 5: first-half goals in 2 matches, conceded in 3 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede heavily in the second half, and recent matches have seen a flurry of late goals, making over 1.5 second-half goals a strong possibility.
- Richmond Kickers: average second-half goals per match 1.6 (0.5 for, 1.1 against)
- Sarasota Paradise: average second-half goals per match 1.8 (0.7 for, 1.1 against)
- Richmond last 5: second-half goals in 4 matches, total 8 goals
- Sarasota last 5: second-half goals in 4 matches, total 10 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner data, the league average and Sarasota's described fast-paced style suggest a moderate chance of exceeding 8.5 corners, but confidence is low due to missing stats.
- Corners data unavailable for both teams in recent matches
- League average corners per match typically around 9-10 in USL League One
- Sarasota's transition style may lead to more end-to-end play and corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Richmond Kickers0Sarasota Paradise0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Sarasota Paradise

Draw or Sarasota Paradise

Yes

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Richmond Kickers

League Table

Recent Form

Richmond Kickers

Sarasota Paradise

Squad & Injuries

Richmond Kickers

Sarasota Paradise

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Richmond Kickers	13	3	2	8	12-24	11	LLLLD
12	Sarasota Paradise	16	5	1	10	17-28	16	LWLWW