Primera NacionalFull time

Predictions graded

CA Temperley1Tristan Suarez0

HT 1–0Sat 4 Jul 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–357%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Jun 2026, 17:54 · Europe/Bucharest

A tight, low-scoring promotion battle is expected between draw-heavy Temperley and defensively solid Tristan Suarez.

The best value lies in First-Half Under 0.5 goals at 2.00, with a 10-point edge over the market, while the draw at 2.63 also offers a small edge. Avoid the overpriced Double Chance on Temperley or Draw and First-Half Over 0.5 goals.

Context

On 28 June 2026, Temperley's official site posted 'Medidas extraordinarias para afrontar el juicio de $142.781.426,67'.
- The update came four days after a 24 June post on the same legal case, showing it is an active issue.
As of the 23 June table, Tristan Suarez have 30 points and Temperley have 27 in Zone B.
- The top seven qualify for Copa Argentina, and places 2-8 enter the Reducido promotion playoffs.
- Temperley have little cushion over 8th place, making every point critical.
Tristan Suarez have conceded 0.6 goals per game overall in their last 15 matches.
- Away from home, they have allowed just 4 goals in 9 games, with 6 clean sheets.
- In their last 5 away games, they kept 3 clean sheets and conceded only 2 goals.
The last 5 H2H meetings: 4 ended under 2.5 goals, with 3 draws.
- The most recent clash in February 2026 ended 0-0.
- Both teams scored in only 2 of those 5 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 2.5

1.33fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have strong defensive records and low-scoring trends, reinforced by a recent H2H 0-0, making under 2.5 goals highly likely.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.50fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Tristan Suarez's defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded per game) and the recent 0-0 H2H suggest at least one team will fail to score.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

CA Temperley or Draw

1.29fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 78%

0.0ppshort

Temperley are unbeaten in their last 5 home games (3W, 2D) and have lost only once at home all season, making a home win or draw highly likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high draw frequencies in recent form and H2H, and the promotion context encourages a cautious approach, making a draw the most probable outcome.
- Temperley's last 15: 9 draws, including 4 of last 5 at home ending in draws.
- Tristan Suarez's last 15: 9 draws, with 4 of last 5 away games ending in draws.
- H2H last 5: 3 draws, including the most recent meeting (0-0 in Feb 2026).
- Both teams are in promotion playoff spots, with Temperley 5th (27 pts) and Tristan Suarez 3rd (30 pts), adding cautious stakes.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Temperley's strong home form (unbeaten in last 5 home games) and historical edge at home make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance on the home side.
- Temperley home record: 4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in 8 home games (only 1 defeat).
- Tristan Suarez away record: 4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss in 9 away games, but Temperley's home strength is notable.
- Temperley's last 5 home matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses.
- H2H at Temperley (last 2 home games vs Tristan Suarez): 1 win, 1 draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCA Temperley or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high rates of first-half draws, and the cautious nature of this promotion clash suggests a stalemate at the break.
- Temperley's last 15: led at halftime in 47% of matches, but 7 of 15 were draws at halftime.
- Tristan Suarez's last 15: led at halftime in 27% of matches, with 10 of 15 draws at halftime.
- H2H last 5: 3 draws at halftime, including the most recent 0-0.
- Temperley home first halves: 4 draws in last 8 home games.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The high draw frequency for both teams at halftime and full-time, reinforced by recent H2H, makes a draw/draw double a plausible but low-confidence outcome.
- Temperley's last 15: 7 draws at halftime, 9 full-time draws.
- Tristan Suarez's last 15: 10 draws at halftime, 9 full-time draws.
- H2H last 5: 3 draws at halftime, 3 full-time draws, including a 0-0 in the most recent meeting.
- Both teams have drawn 9 of their last 15 matches overall.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / DrawEstimated chance30%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong defensive records and low-scoring trends, reinforced by a recent H2H 0-0, making under 2.5 goals highly likely.
- Temperley's last 15 matches: 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, with 8 of 15 under 2.5 goals.
- Tristan Suarez's last 15 matches: 0.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with 12 of 15 under 2.5 goals.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 of 5 ended under 2.5 goals, including a 0-0 draw in the most recent clash (Feb 2026).
- Tristan Suarez away record: 7 goals scored and 4 conceded in 9 away games, averaging 1.22 total goals per away match.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tristan Suarez's defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded per game) and the recent 0-0 H2H suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Temperley failed to score in 3 of last 15 matches; Tristan Suarez kept clean sheets in 9 of last 15.
- Tristan Suarez conceded only 0.6 goals per game over last 15, with 7 clean sheets in that span.
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in only 2 of 5 meetings, with the most recent ending 0-0.
- Temperley at home: scored 13 in 8 but conceded 12, yet Tristan Suarez away: only 4 conceded in 9.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages and a history of scoreless first halves in H2H, making under 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Temperley's last 15: 0.8 first-half goals scored, 0.5 conceded; 7 of 15 had 0 first-half goals.
- Tristan Suarez's last 15: 0.5 first-half goals scored, 0.3 conceded; 8 of 15 had 0 first-half goals.
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 had 0 first-half goals, including the most recent 0-0 at halftime.
- Tristan Suarez away first halves: only 2 goals scored in 9 away games, with 6 scoreless first halves.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low second-half scoring trends for both teams, combined with Tristan Suarez's strong away defense after the break, point to under 1.5 second-half goals.
- Temperley's last 15: second-half goals average 0.8 total (0.3 scored, 0.5 conceded after halftime).
- Tristan Suarez's last 15: second-half goals average 0.7 total (0.4 scored, 0.3 conceded after halftime).
- H2H last 5: only 1 match had more than 1 second-half goal.
- Tristan Suarez away second halves: only 3 goals conceded in 9 away games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Corner data is unavailable, but the defensive, low-scoring nature of both teams and the match context suggest a low corner count, though confidence is low due to missing stats.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches, but the low-scoring, defensive style suggests fewer attacking set-pieces.
- Temperley's average possession is 0% (data missing), indicating a lack of detailed stats, but their low goals output implies limited attacking pressure.
- Tristan Suarez's defensive record (0.6 goals conceded per game) suggests they limit opponent attacks, reducing corner opportunities.
- In the absence of corner data, the under is inferred from the overall low-event match profile.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

D0-0Tristan SuarezvTemperleyFeb 14, 2026PRI

L2-1Tristan SuarezvTemperleyOct 10, 2022PRI

W1-2TemperleyvTristan SuarezFeb 26, 2014PRI

D1-1Tristan SuarezvTemperleyAug 24, 2013PRI

L2-1TemperleyvTristan SuarezMar 24, 2013PRI

2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	CA Temperley Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	18	6	9	3	18-17	27	DWWWD
3	Tristan Suarez Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	18	7	9	2	16-10	30	DWDDD

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CA Temperley

D1-1San Martin TucumanJun 20PRI

W4-1Club Atlético GüemesJun 14PRI

W1-0Chacarita JuniorsJun 7PRI

W2-1San Martin S.J.May 31PRI

D1-1Nueva ChicagoMay 23PRI

L0-1Gimnasia JujuyMay 17PRI

L0-5Deportivo MaipuMay 9PRI

D1-1AlmagroMay 3PRI

D0-0PatronatoApr 25PRI

D1-1ColegialesApr 19PRI

D3-3QuilmesApr 12PRI

D0-0MidlandApr 4PRI

W1-0Los AndesMar 29PRI

W2-1AtlantaMar 22PRI

D0-0Gimnasia Y TiroMar 15PRI

Tristan Suarez

D0-0Chacarita JuniorsJun 21PRI

W1-0Deportivo MaipuJun 14PRI

D0-0AlmagroJun 6PRI

D1-1PatronatoMay 31PRI

D0-0ColegialesMay 23PRI

W1-0QuilmesMay 17PRI

L1-3MidlandMay 9PRI

L1-3AtlantaMay 3PRI

W2-1Gimnasia Y TiroApr 26PRI

D0-0San Martin TucumanApr 19PRI

D0-0Atletico DE RafaelaApr 13PRI

L0-1Sarmiento JuninApr 9COP

W2-0AgropecuarioApr 4PRI

W1-0Almirante BrownMar 28PRI

W3-0Gimnasia JujuyMar 21PRI

Squad & Injuries

CA Temperley

29 available

Attackers9

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Tristan Suarez

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 0.5

Draw

Under 2.5

No

CA Temperley or Draw

Draw

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CA Temperley

Tristan Suarez

Squad & Injuries

CA Temperley

Tristan Suarez