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Predictions graded

UTS Rabat1IR Tanger0

HT 0–0Thu 2 Jul 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 67%–33%ShotsShots 26–8On targetOn target 9–1CornersCorners 7–1

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Jul 2026, 10:19 · Europe/Bucharest

UTS Rabat's dreadful home record (1 win in 14) and IR Tanger's stable form make Draw or IR Tanger at 1.91 the standout value bet.

Expect a tight, low-scoring match, with under 2.5 goals (1.60) and a goalless first half (2.50) offering strong edges based on both teams' scoring profiles.

Context

UTS Rabat home record: 1W-7D-6L (7% win rate).
- They have scored only 14 goals in 14 home matches (1.0 per game).
- In their last 5 home matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses.
IR Tanger last 5 form: W-W-W-L-D (10 points from 15).
- Club news on 24 June stated the group is focused on consolidating points.
- They are 11 points clear of the relegation zone but not mathematically safe.
Last 5 H2H scores: 1-1, 0-1, 3-1, 2-1, 2-2.
- Only one of those five matches exceeded 2.5 goals.
- The February 2026 meeting saw a 1-1 draw with a 1-0 half-time lead for IR Tanger.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
UTS Rabat's extremely high home draw rate (50% of all home matches) combined with IR Tanger's solid away form and the recent H2H draw pattern makes a stalemate the most likely single outcome, despite IRT's better overall form.
- UTS Rabat home record: 1W-7D-6L (14 matches), 64% draws at home
- IR Tanger away record: 4W-4D-6L (14 matches), 29% draws away
- H2H last 5: 3 draws, 1 UTS win, 1 IRT win; last meeting 1-1 draw
- UTS Rabat last 5 form: D-L-L-W-D (5 points from 15), IR Tanger last 5: D-L-W-W-W (10 points from 15)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
UTS Rabat's dreadful home record (only 1 win all season) and IR Tanger's mid-table security and recent form make a home win highly unlikely, giving the away side or draw a strong combined probability.
- UTS Rabat home win rate: 7% (1/14), IR Tanger away loss rate: 43% (6/14)
- IR Tanger last 5 away matches: 2W-1D-2L, UTS Rabat last 5 home: 1W-2D-2L
- UTS Rabat are 15th (relegation zone), IR Tanger 8th with 11-point gap
- IR Tanger's away goals conceded: 1.14 per game, UTS home goals scored: 1.0 per game
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or IR TangerEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The high frequency of drawn first halves for both teams, especially UTS Rabat at home (60%), combined with the low first-half scoring rates, points to a halftime stalemate as the most probable outcome.
- UTS Rabat home half-time results: led 27%, trailed 13%, drawn 60% of matches
- IR Tanger away half-time results: led 20%, trailed 33%, drawn 47% of matches
- Last 5 H2H first halves: 3 draws, 1 UTS lead, 1 IRT lead
- UTS Rabat last 5 home first halves: 4 draws, 1 loss
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a full draw is already the most likely single result, the combination of a drawn first half and drawn full time is less common but still plausible given UTS Rabat's tendency to draw at home and IR Tanger's ability to hold on away.
- UTS Rabat home draws: 7 of 14 (50%), IR Tanger away draws: 4 of 14 (29%)
- UTS Rabat half-time draws at home: ~60%, full-time draws at home: 50%
- IR Tanger half-time draws away: ~47%, full-time draws away: 29%
- Last H2H meeting ended 1-1 with a 0-0 half-time
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals5 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring profiles, especially in their respective home/away splits, and the H2H history strongly favors tight, low-scoring affairs, making under 2.5 goals the clear expectation.
- UTS Rabat home matches: 14 total goals for, 20 against in 14 games (avg 2.43 total goals)
- IR Tanger away matches: 12 goals for, 16 against in 14 games (avg 2.0 total goals)
- Last 5 H2H: 4 of 5 had under 2.5 goals (scores: 1-1, 0-1, 3-1, 2-1, 2-2)
- Both teams average under 1.3 goals scored per game overall this season
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
While H2H shows mixed BTTS results, the current form and defensive improvements from IR Tanger (4 away clean sheets in last 8) combined with UTS Rabat's home scoring struggles suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- UTS Rabat failed to score in 5 of 14 home matches (36%), IR Tanger failed to score in 5 of 14 away matches (36%)
- IR Tanger kept clean sheets in 4 of last 8 away matches
- UTS Rabat kept only 2 home clean sheets all season
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 3 of 5, but recent trend: 2 of last 3 had one team blank
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, with UTS Rabat averaging 0.7 first-half goals at home and IR Tanger just 0.3 away, making a goalless first half a strong possibility.
- UTS Rabat first half goals at home: 0.7 per game, first half conceded: 0.5 per game
- IR Tanger first half goals away: 0.3 per game, first half conceded: 0.5 per game
- UTS Rabat led at half-time in only 27% of matches, trailed in 13%
- IR Tanger led at half-time in 20% of matches, trailed in 33%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score and concede more in the second half, with UTS Rabat's home second halves averaging 1.5 total goals and IR Tanger's away second halves averaging 1.3, making at least one goal after the break highly likely.
- UTS Rabat home second-half goals: 0.6 per game, conceded: 0.9 per game
- IR Tanger away second-half goals: 0.7 per game, conceded: 0.6 per game
- UTS Rabat last 5 home matches: 4 of 5 had second-half goals
- IR Tanger last 5 away matches: 4 of 5 had second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
While IR Tanger has shown defensive improvement, they still concede in the majority of away matches, and UTS Rabat, despite their struggles, manage to score at home in nearly two-thirds of their games, making an away clean sheet unlikely.
- IR Tanger away clean sheets: 4 in 14 matches (29%)
- UTS Rabat failed to score at home in 5 of 14 matches (36%)
- UTS Rabat scored in 9 of 14 home matches (64%)
- IR Tanger conceded in 10 of 14 away matches (71%)
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonUTS Rabat to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
UTS Rabat's home scoring output is consistently low, with 79% of home matches seeing them score 1 or fewer, and IR Tanger's away defense is relatively solid, making it probable the home side stays under 1.5 goals.
- UTS Rabat home goals per game: 1.0 (14 goals in 14 matches)
- UTS Rabat scored 0 or 1 goal in 11 of 14 home matches (79%)
- IR Tanger away goals conceded per game: 1.14 (16 in 14 matches)
- Last 5 H2H: UTS Rabat scored 1 goal in 3 of 5 meetings
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonUTS Rabat under 1.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
UTS Rabat's high disciplinary card count (4.0 per game) and the combative nature of relegation-threatened teams, combined with IR Tanger's moderate card rate, suggests the total cards could exceed 4.5, though card data is sparse.
- UTS Rabat average yellow cards: 4.0 per game (last 15 matches, data available for 7 matches)
- IR Tanger average yellow cards: 2.2 per game (last 15 matches, data available for 10 matches)
- Last H2H meeting: 7 total yellow cards (UTS 3, IRT 4)
- UTS Rabat received 4+ yellow cards in 4 of last 7 matches with card data
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

D1-1Ittihad TangervUTS RabatFeb 28, 2026BOT

W0-1Ittihad TangervUTS RabatApr 23, 2025BOT

W3-1UTS RabatvIttihad TangerNov 29, 2024BOT

L2-1Ittihad TangervUTS RabatFeb 22, 2024BOT

D2-2UTS RabatvIttihad TangerOct 1, 2023BOT

2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	UTS Rabat Relegation	28	4	13	11	29-39	25	DLLWD
8	IR Tanger	28	8	12	8	25-29	36	DLWWW

11pt gap between teamsUTS Rabat in relegation zone

Recent Form

UTS Rabat

D2-2FAR RabatJun 28BOT

L1-2Difaa EL JadidaJun 25BOT

L0-1Hassania AgadirJun 21BOT

W2-0CODM MeknèsJun 17BOT

D1-1Raja CasablancaJun 14BOT

W1-0CR Khemis ZemamraJun 9BOT

D0-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 1BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourMay 23BOT

W1-0Fath NadorMay 16CUP

L0-1Maghreb FèsMay 10BOT

L3-4Renaissance BerkaneMay 7BOT

L0-2FUS RabatMay 3BOT

W2-1Olympique DcheïraApr 30BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiApr 25BOT

L3-4Wydad ACMar 8BOT

IR Tanger

D1-1Raja CasablancaJun 28BOT

L0-2Olympique DcheïraJun 25BOT

W1-0CR Khemis ZemamraJun 21BOT

W2-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 17BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourJun 14BOT

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneJun 8BOT

W2-1Wydad ACJun 3BOT

W1-0Maghreb FèsMay 22BOT

D1-1Difaa EL JadidaMay 10BOT

D1-1FUS RabatMay 6BOT

D0-0FAR RabatMay 3BOT

W2-1Olympique SafiApr 29BOT

D1-1Hassania AgadirApr 25BOT

L0-1CODM MeknèsMar 6BOT

D1-1UTS RabatFeb 28BOT

Squad & Injuries

UTS Rabat

39 available

Attackers15

Midfielders10

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

IR Tanger

33 available

Attackers9

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or IR Tanger

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

Under 1.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals5 of 6 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

UTS Rabat

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

UTS Rabat

IR Tanger

Squad & Injuries

UTS Rabat

IR Tanger