Union Omaha33 – 1AV Alta FC1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Union Omaha's perfect home record and H2H dominance give them a clear edge, but AV Alta's strong overall form (DWWWD) and low away losses keep this at medium confidence.

• Union Omaha home record: 6W-1D-0L, 14 goals scored, 6 conceded in 7 matches (2026 USL League One season).
• AV Alta away record: 2W-2D-1L, 5 goals scored, 5 conceded in 5 matches (2026 USL League One season).
• H2H: Union Omaha won 3-1 away vs AV Alta on 2026-04-05, and 2-0 at home in 2025.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonUnion OmahaEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Union Omaha's fortress-like home form and AV Alta's modest away record make a home win or draw highly likely, supported by H2H history.

• Union Omaha home record: unbeaten in 7 (6W-1D-0L) this season.
• AV Alta away record: only 2 wins in 5, with 2 draws and 1 loss.
• H2H: Union Omaha unbeaten in 3 meetings (2W-1D).

BetBugs · Double ChancewonUnion Omaha or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Union Omaha's tendency to dominate after the break at home, combined with AV Alta's weaker second-half away performances, gives the hosts an edge in the second 45.

• Union Omaha second-half home record: won second half in 4 of 7, drew 2, lost 1.
• AV Alta second-half away record: won second half in 1 of 5, drew 2, lost 2.
• Last H2H: Union Omaha won second half 3-1.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableUnion OmahaEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The pattern of a tight first half followed by a Union Omaha surge is plausible given their home form, but the specific HT/FT combo is inherently low-probability.

• Union Omaha home matches: 4 of 7 were draws at half-time, and they won 6 of 7 overall.
• AV Alta away matches: 3 of 5 were draws at half-time, and they won only 2 of 5.
• Last H2H: 0-0 at half-time, Union Omaha won 3-1.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Union OmahaEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Union Omaha's home games tend to be higher-scoring, and the previous H2H saw 4 goals, suggesting a decent chance of over 2.5 despite AV Alta's tighter away defense.

• Union Omaha home matches average 2.86 total goals (14 scored, 6 conceded in 7).
• AV Alta away matches average 2.0 total goals (5 scored, 5 conceded in 5), but overall matches average 2.5 (21 scored, 14 conceded in 14).
• Last H2H: 4 total goals (3-1).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have consistent scoring records, and AV Alta's attack has found the net in most away games, making BTTS a reasonable expectation.

• Union Omaha scored in 6 of 7 home matches; conceded in 4 of 7.
• AV Alta scored in 4 of 5 away matches; conceded in 3 of 5.
• Both teams scored in the last H2H (3-1).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Union Omaha's home scoring output is strong, and they have a history of scoring multiple goals against AV Alta, supporting over 1.5 home goals.

• Union Omaha scored 2+ goals in 5 of 7 home matches this season.
• Union Omaha scored 3 goals in the only H2H this season.
• AV Alta conceded 2+ goals in 2 of 5 away matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonUnion Omaha over 1.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

AV Alta's consistent scoring record, even on the road, and Union Omaha's occasional defensive lapses at home make an away goal highly probable.

• AV Alta scored in 4 of 5 away matches this season.
• AV Alta scored in 12 of 14 overall matches this season.
• Union Omaha conceded in 4 of 7 home matches.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAV Alta FC over 0.5Estimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate first-half scoring rates, and AV Alta's overall first-half average of 0.8 suggests a goal before the break is more likely than not.

• Union Omaha first-half goals: 0.4 per match overall, but 0.57 at home (4 goals in 7 home matches).
• AV Alta first-half goals: 0.8 per match overall, 0.6 away (3 goals in 5 away matches).
• Last H2H: 0-0 at half-time, but previous H2H in 2025 had first-half goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Union Omaha's strong second-half scoring at home and the pattern from the last H2H point to a lively second half, though AV Alta's away second-half output is low.

• Union Omaha second-half goals at home: 1.43 per match (10 goals in 7 home matches).
• AV Alta second-half goals away: 0.4 per match (2 goals in 5 away matches), but overall 0.7 per match.
• Last H2H: all 4 goals came in the second half.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Without concrete corner data, this is a speculative estimate based on typical league averages; confidence is low due to missing evidence.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided stats.
• General USL League One matches average around 9-10 corners per game based on league trends.
• No specific corner counts from recent matches to confirm.